@wartaal

#2,831,65510

0x87b54f7d99cbabbfbb91d482885574decb09df63

~147d· 330 markets · 873 tradesVol: $121,4492026-08-04 15:05:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (61/319)0/20
0.65x (win $950 / loss $1,469)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8890/15
Sortino -5.1230/10
$-0.1838 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 513 (319 markets)9.9/10
21/110 profitable days (19%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($519 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
83% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,550,649$-160Vol: $61,344
📈 ECONOMICS#662,375$-115Vol: $25,850
₿ CRYPTO#1,414,835$-62Vol: $17,628
📢 MENTIONS#27,428$4Vol: $8,417
🎭 CULTURE#777,426$-84Vol: $6,061
💻 TECH#209,831$-3Vol: $1,434
💰 FINANCE#584,649$-14Vol: $652
⚽ SPORTS#1,191,356$-5Vol: $63

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-439
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$121,449
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
330
total markets
Trades
682B / 191S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~147d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-439
Vol: $121,449

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
61W / 258L events
Realized PnL
$-439
Win Rate
19%
61W / 258L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $380 (0.8657819127103571% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 2?$192
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?$96
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$92
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 19?$74
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 18?$72
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?$52
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$50
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$41
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 19?$37
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 3?$27

Top Losers

Will Elon register the America Party in July?$-73
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-43
Macron out by October 31, 2025?$-35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$-33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 17?$-33
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$-33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-32
Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?$-28
Macron out by June 30, 2026?$-26
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.150
Sortino
-0.330
HHI
524
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.170
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.1%
Top-5 markets
32.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 120s — normal for humanCV 2.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.72
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)82.6%
Mid (20-55c)15.1%
High (>55c)2.3%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 5:46:46 PM4 trades$8865 min
4/12/2026, 7:44:15 PM2 trades$2970 min
4/12/2026, 7:28:31 PM2 trades$2500 min
5/17/2026, 1:57:48 PM12 trades$2043 min
10/26/2025, 5:24:27 PM6 trades$1995 min
12/2/2025, 5:04:26 PM2 trades$1594 min
11/21/2025, 9:01:17 PM2 trades$1162 min
7/30/2025, 6:59:41 PM1 trades$990 min
12/18/2025, 3:04:41 PM1 trades$970 min
12/19/2025, 6:05:31 AM2 trades$721 min
7/6/2025, 1:46:59 PM1 trades$700 min
12/19/2025, 4:33:15 PM1 trades$680 min
8/15/2025, 7:16:04 PM1 trades$650 min
4/2/2026, 12:50:15 AM2 trades$650 min
10/21/2025, 10:44:59 AM13 trades$5919 min
6/26/2026, 5:38:16 PM10 trades$583 min
2/10/2026, 12:34:29 AM5 trades$533 min
7/5/2025, 5:02:07 PM1 trades$500 min
11/28/2025, 5:06:43 PM8 trades$5012 min
10/29/2025, 5:57:29 PM10 trades$494 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-12
09-11
10-29
11-23
12-17
02-10
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.72/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L82.6 / M15.1 / H2.3