watchmewhip

@watchmewhip

#52,68442

0x551a79d6101081d721262a2605187674fc1686b9

~377d· 352 markets · 2601 tradesVol: $345,9732026-08-04 20:58:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (239/317)20/20
0.96x (win $7,952 / loss $8,245)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1270/15
Sortino -0.1570/10
$-0.0018 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 109 (317 markets)10/10
139/188 profitable days (74%)10/10
Max DD 130% of peak ($2,193 / $1,682)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 75%
Profitable
PnL $+1,978
DCA Master
Avg 7.7 entries/market
Whale
$158,497 invested
Consistent
139/188 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#24,596$1,486Vol: $227,319
💰 FINANCE#6,869$503Vol: $48,382
🏛️ POLITICS#24,896$584Vol: $25,294
💻 TECH#6,054$97Vol: $21,931
🎭 CULTURE#753,886$-40Vol: $8,227
⚽ SPORTS#1,796,241$-507Vol: $5,200
📈 ECONOMICS#26,836$24Vol: $3,191
📢 MENTIONS#169,413$-209Vol: $2,416
🌤️ WEATHER#248,761$-11Vol: $288

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,978
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$345,973
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
352
total markets
Trades
1857B / 744S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~377d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $178
Week
$128
Vol: $864
Month
$258
Vol: $1,000
All Time
$1,978
Vol: $345,973

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
238W / 79L events
Realized PnL
$1,978
Win Rate
75%
238W / 79L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-113

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,778 (1.4045628260605814% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1,395
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?$1,036
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?$347
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$254
Ethereum flipped in 2026?$241
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$237
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$228
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$220
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$182
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$166

Top Losers

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-1,649
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?$-1,119
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?$-883
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-719
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$-627
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?$-395
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-225
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$-220
Will Donald Trump say "China" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$-209
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?$-158

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.007
Sortino
-0.004
HHI
94
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
12.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
22.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1370s — normal for humanCV 1.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.71
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.8%
Mid (20-55c)6.7%
High (>55c)82.6%

Sessions

#12
10/26/2025, 12:29:33 PM8 trades$2,72612 min
6/2/2026, 5:05:45 AM7 trades$2,2251 min
11/18/2025, 6:06:31 PM17 trades$2,17414 min
7/31/2026, 7:30:32 PM7 trades$2,1601 min
11/10/2025, 1:07:36 PM3 trades$1,8892 min
3/10/2025, 2:52:17 PM2 trades$1,7361 min
10/30/2025, 8:15:33 AM7 trades$1,7009 min
6/9/2026, 2:59:31 PM2 trades$1,6000 min
8/4/2025, 10:46:10 AM5 trades$1,5699 min
11/18/2025, 12:44:29 AM3 trades$1,4862 min
6/11/2026, 2:52:01 PM4 trades$1,4061 min
11/17/2025, 11:55:25 PM3 trades$1,3952 min
10/5/2025, 12:36:51 AM3 trades$1,2983 min
1/19/2025, 2:31:49 AM1 trades$1,2930 min
1/20/2025, 8:53:59 PM1 trades$1,2750 min
5/14/2026, 2:44:49 PM19 trades$1,27321 min
1/28/2025, 11:36:19 PM3 trades$1,2600 min
11/23/2025, 9:03:51 PM3 trades$1,1933 min
9/19/2025, 10:43:40 AM2 trades$1,1914 min
1/18/2025, 3:21:07 AM6 trades$1,1859 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-25
02-10
08-16
11-01
01-12
05-01
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 185 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.71/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.8 / M6.7 / H82.6