@weatherBear
#53,232690x47e9c1e3a3d7aa76b22b13d5ebd46d82ddac732c
~133d· 2725 markets · 39871 tradesVol: $977,5532026-08-04 20:57:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
98% (2655/2723)20/20
1.15x (win $5,987 / loss $5,211)4.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.30815/15
Sortino 1.58910/10
$+0.0021 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 8 (2723 markets)10/10
105/131 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 185% of peak ($1,449 / $782)0/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 98%
Profitable
PnL $+1,950
DCA Master
Avg 14.6 entries/market
Whale
$376,246 invested
Consistent
105/131 profitable days
Win Streak
168 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#919$2,077Vol: $974,554
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,950
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$977,553
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2725
total markets
Trades
27106B / 12765S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~133d
Periods
#2Today
$22
Vol: $3,307
Week
$-48
Vol: $15,366
Month
$-23
Vol: $20,701
All Time
$1,950
Vol: $977,553
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
98%
2655W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$1,950
Win Rate
98%
2655W / 68L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-80
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $104 (0.05350053854439144% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 10?$43
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on April 1?$32
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 14?$30
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C or higher on May 16?$29
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?$28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 15?$23
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 83°F or below on June 10?$23
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 17?$22
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 19?$22
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 5?$21
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?$-349
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 22?$-266
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 16?$-260
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 5?$-247
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 23?$-227
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 29?$-220
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 30?$-211
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 13?$-204
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?$-193
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?$-189
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.068
Sortino
0.059
HHI
7
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.3%
Top-5 markets
1.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
81.0
Very active
Markets / Day
5.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
7.0m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
34 min
Avg Trades / Session
56.1
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 102s — normal for humanCV 1.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock81 trades/day — mass trading5.5 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
14.63
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0.3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)99.7%
Sessions
#123/7/2026, 4:53:03 PM187 trades$2,612182 min
3/15/2026, 6:43:37 PM146 trades$1,69232 min
3/17/2026, 9:56:51 PM118 trades$1,29730 min
2/24/2026, 7:05:02 PM61 trades$1,26327 min
3/24/2026, 7:23:33 PM111 trades$1,24970 min
3/7/2026, 11:03:51 AM33 trades$1,1890 min
3/26/2026, 6:25:13 PM83 trades$1,14785 min
3/28/2026, 8:57:46 PM131 trades$1,13437 min
3/28/2026, 7:23:10 PM119 trades$1,08049 min
3/27/2026, 12:10:25 PM105 trades$1,03041 min
3/23/2026, 4:52:11 PM57 trades$1,01230 min
3/16/2026, 4:00:27 AM34 trades$98321 min
3/11/2026, 9:42:37 PM19 trades$89512 min
3/7/2026, 9:59:13 PM32 trades$88537 min
3/19/2026, 3:00:33 PM40 trades$86445 min
3/18/2026, 5:18:47 PM56 trades$84520 min
3/16/2026, 9:28:09 AM27 trades$84412 min
3/17/2026, 12:51:11 PM34 trades$83320 min
3/16/2026, 12:50:47 PM26 trades$81931 min
3/20/2026, 7:46:19 PM37 trades$81726 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
03-18
04-24
05-15
06-17
07-09
07-31
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 11 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.63/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.3 / M0 / H99.7