@weatherlover21

#47,06370

0x9631150718ea1a1a662871f9d696f6567f55a38c

~139d· 3219 markets · 8934 tradesVol: $253,5602026-08-04 19:59:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (458/3185)0/20
1.42x (win $17,375 / loss $12,240)7.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.51215/15
Sortino 23.85110/10
$+0.2858 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 156 (3185 markets)10/10
84/138 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 5% of peak ($272 / $5,175)10/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+2,281
Lottery Player
81% entries < $0.20
Consistent
84/138 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 5%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#1,075$1,708Vol: $182,179
🎭 CULTURE#24,154$77Vol: $32,094
⚽ SPORTS#89,203$194Vol: $11,622
🏛️ POLITICS#53,662$141Vol: $10,206
💰 FINANCE#19,106$91Vol: $8,160
📈 ECONOMICS#19,297$45Vol: $2,582
💻 TECH#13,587$19Vol: $1,443
📢 MENTIONS#36,067$2Vol: $190
₿ CRYPTO#1,265,818$-20Vol: $187

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,281
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$253,560
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3219
total markets
Trades
5904B / 3030S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~139d

Periods

#2
Today
$29
Vol: $2,063
Week
$52
Vol: $7,117
Month
$162
Vol: $8,854
All Time
$2,281
Vol: $253,560

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
456W / 2718L events
Realized PnL
$2,281
Win Rate
14%
456W / 2718L
Profit Factor
1.42x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,012 (1.7589732348363623% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?$3,342
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Draw at halftime?$375
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?$295
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?$248
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 10?$212
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$179
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 28?$176
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$155
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$129
Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-17?$127

Top Losers

Beijing Guoan FC leading at halftime?$-178
AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: Draw at halftime?$-170
Qingdao Xihaian FC leading at halftime?$-167
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$-154
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $600M and $675M at market close on IPO day?$-143
Will Boyacá Chicó FC vs. AD Cali end in a draw?$-141
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw?$-139
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$-111
Will "Dai Dai" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?$-101
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 15?$-97

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.131
Sortino
0.939
HHI
20
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.288
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
4.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
57.3
Very active
Markets / Day
20.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
35.5m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
26.6

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 93s — normal for humanCV 2.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock57 trades/day — mass trading21 markets/day — mass coverage58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.78
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)80.6%
Mid (20-55c)15.5%
High (>55c)3.9%

Sessions

#12
4/2/2026, 8:14:27 AM9 trades$6,0130 min
6/18/2026, 4:08:49 PM3 trades$1,3110 min
5/12/2026, 8:51:37 PM48 trades$8084 min
5/15/2026, 3:19:47 PM6 trades$6030 min
6/18/2026, 4:49:28 PM38 trades$5729 min
7/9/2026, 10:14:16 PM38 trades$5723 min
6/4/2026, 9:17:07 PM6 trades$5660 min
5/9/2026, 10:02:30 PM28 trades$5568 min
6/9/2026, 3:52:37 AM21 trades$5230 min
4/17/2026, 11:01:20 PM2 trades$4670 min
4/26/2026, 7:21:08 AM17 trades$45413 min
6/4/2026, 9:24:13 AM15 trades$4512 min
5/8/2026, 11:03:56 PM11 trades$4150 min
4/28/2026, 8:33:58 PM46 trades$39513 min
6/13/2026, 7:15:57 PM22 trades$3907 min
5/12/2026, 1:32:08 PM8 trades$3841 min
6/14/2026, 6:31:43 AM19 trades$3821 min
4/30/2026, 7:47:52 AM13 trades$3496 min
5/15/2026, 4:06:25 PM6 trades$3270 min
4/7/2026, 6:11:27 AM44 trades$3260 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-29
04-27
05-21
06-17
07-11
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
44% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.78/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L80.6 / M15.5 / H3.9