@william835
#12,210570x5026f0a69e2343b506e75b6331586b1ee3fedde1
~57d· 99 markets · 873 tradesVol: $597,8072026-08-04 23:04:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (42/97)6.6/20
1.25x (win $25,632 / loss $20,580)5.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.17615/15
Sortino 2.99210/10
$+0.1015 per $1 invested5.1/10
HHI 695 (97 markets)9/10
18/39 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 64% of peak ($8,619 / $13,520)1.2/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+12,233
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
7⚽ SPORTS#1,784,163$-400Vol: $530,145
₿ CRYPTO#3,891$12,157Vol: $47,414
🏛️ POLITICS#18,061$997Vol: $14,143
💻 TECH#3,714$224Vol: $1,906
💰 FINANCE#15,083$141Vol: $1,735
🎭 CULTURE#799,870$-287Vol: $1,457
📈 ECONOMICS#676,895$-600Vol: $1,007
Overview
#1Net PnL
$12,233
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$597,807
Total Redeem
$833
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
99
total markets
Trades
299B / 574S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$4
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$12,233
Vol: $597,807
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
42W / 55L events
Realized PnL
$12,233
Win Rate
43%
42W / 55L
Profit Factor
1.25x
Avg Win
$610
Avg Loss
$-429
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,577 (1.1916375708457012% of PnL)
Top Winners
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$10,869
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2,550
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,158
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$983
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$798
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$764
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$745
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$611
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$517
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?$481
Top Losers
Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,170
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-2,000
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$-1,670
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,659
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,630
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,366
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$-880
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-752
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-606
Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 0.5$-600
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.061
Sortino
0.150
HHI
551
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.076
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
39.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 131s — normal for humanCV 2.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.26
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21.1%
Mid (20-55c)19.7%
High (>55c)59.2%
Sessions
#124/3/2026, 4:17:19 PM39 trades$20,2810 min
6/10/2026, 12:13:45 PM49 trades$5,65116 min
6/29/2026, 6:08:47 PM10 trades$5,3996 min
11/6/2025, 8:51:11 AM1 trades$4,9800 min
1/23/2026, 12:01:30 PM1 trades$3,4100 min
6/19/2026, 2:14:25 PM6 trades$2,5870 min
1/23/2026, 12:06:58 PM8 trades$2,0535 min
4/13/2026, 10:20:47 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
7/11/2026, 1:00:41 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
5/22/2026, 7:58:38 AM14 trades$1,9002 min
5/21/2026, 9:55:33 PM12 trades$1,6520 min
6/19/2026, 12:06:41 AM23 trades$1,5660 min
6/10/2026, 12:38:19 PM16 trades$1,5135 min
6/10/2026, 9:52:22 AM16 trades$1,4534 min
6/21/2026, 9:29:22 PM20 trades$1,4285 min
4/13/2026, 9:00:31 AM2 trades$1,3820 min
6/15/2026, 6:56:25 AM2 trades$1,2860 min
6/29/2026, 11:48:02 PM10 trades$1,2492 min
6/10/2026, 6:24:45 PM8 trades$1,2003 min
4/11/2026, 7:41:31 PM11 trades$1,1542 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-07
04-16
05-27
06-17
06-23
07-01
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 27 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.1 / M19.7 / H59.2