@win-win-win99

#3,016,87140

0x9b2d1bd7eb424e9c39b69c1b4a7470497c38ff5b

~114d· 271 markets · 2746 tradesVol: $987,0512026-08-04 20:40:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (211/267)20/20
0.60x (win $9,619 / loss $15,937)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1500/15
Sortino -2.2200/10
$-0.0092 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 128 (267 markets)10/10
67/87 profitable days (77%)10/10
Max DD 947% of peak ($9,749 / $1,030)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 79%
DCA Master
Avg 9.7 entries/market
Whale
$687,435 invested
Consistent
67/87 profitable days
High Roller
$3,716/day
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#813,982$-2,172Vol: $852,107
🏛️ POLITICS#17,723$1,020Vol: $65,030
💰 FINANCE#19,083$91Vol: $34,560
₿ CRYPTO#1,644,120$-1,818Vol: $20,204
📈 ECONOMICS#7,762$224Vol: $10,604
📢 MENTIONS#140,790$-19Vol: $4,400
🌤️ WEATHER#24,254$9Vol: $146

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,666
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$987,051
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
271
total markets
Trades
2118B / 628S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~114d

Periods

#2
Week
$9
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,666
Vol: $987,051

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
211W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$-2,666
Win Rate
79%
211W / 56L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$46
Avg Loss
$-313

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,905 (0.7145134788382614% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?$898
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$557
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$450
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$426
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$345
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$342
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$305
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$286
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$264
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$215

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$-4,174
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$-2,993
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$-2,334
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$-1,925
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$-1,171
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?$-1,084
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$-413
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$-259
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 15?$-196
Meta (META) Up or Down on January 16?$-188

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.112
Sortino
-0.064
HHI
115
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
12.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 214s — normal for humanCV 2.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active1.5 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.72
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.7%
Mid (20-55c)2.5%
High (>55c)93.8%

Sessions

#12
6/4/2026, 3:55:25 PM8 trades$24,4225 min
6/16/2026, 1:55:26 PM18 trades$10,7204 min
6/13/2026, 8:18:39 PM1 trades$9,9900 min
3/22/2026, 11:57:53 AM1 trades$9,9600 min
2/10/2026, 1:36:11 PM12 trades$9,8394 min
3/23/2026, 10:38:33 PM6 trades$9,6839 min
6/11/2026, 4:50:40 PM23 trades$9,44313 min
5/22/2026, 1:40:07 PM8 trades$9,0414 min
1/31/2026, 2:54:02 PM23 trades$9,0264 min
1/29/2026, 6:32:54 PM12 trades$8,22012 min
2/7/2026, 5:27:05 AM4 trades$8,1681 min
2/11/2026, 6:59:07 AM1 trades$7,9920 min
1/31/2026, 3:25:38 PM13 trades$7,9053 min
5/20/2026, 2:44:11 PM1 trades$7,6920 min
6/8/2026, 3:53:22 PM12 trades$7,61911 min
5/12/2026, 4:00:27 PM30 trades$7,09311 min
1/29/2026, 7:21:32 AM17 trades$6,88613 min
2/6/2026, 9:23:39 AM17 trades$6,8605 min
6/12/2026, 7:50:18 PM27 trades$6,73818 min
2/14/2026, 7:48:43 AM1 trades$6,4660 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
01-31
04-04
05-04
05-19
06-10
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 102 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.72/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.7 / M2.5 / H93.8