@winterism

#2,921,73516

0x77fcc16dd8eb4b91093f5204abf81ef61b1a432b

~30d· 474 markets · 1946 tradesVol: $39,0182026-08-04 19:18:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (188/474)4.8/20
0.91x (win $5,931 / loss $6,489)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0580/15
Sortino -2.8170/10
$-0.0464 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 65 (474 markets)10/10
8/26 profitable days (31%)0.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($681 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

5
⚽ SPORTS#1,820,248$-810Vol: $35,773
₿ CRYPTO#1,498,012$-127Vol: $2,905
🎭 CULTURE#746,869$-33Vol: $141
🏛️ POLITICS#184,946$8Vol: $109
🌤️ WEATHER#246,223$-10Vol: $90

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-972
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,018
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
474
total markets
Trades
894B / 1052S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
188W / 286L events
Realized PnL
$-972
Win Rate
40%
188W / 286L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$32
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $484 (0.49809067984149047% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$215
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5$136
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?$133
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$132
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$125
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$121
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa?$111
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$109
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$91
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$87

Top Losers

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-244
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-217
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-195
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5$-160
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Japan?$-154
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5$-130
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$-128
Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$-125
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$-114
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$-108

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.106
Sortino
-0.168
HHI
64
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.044
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
9.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
45.3
Active
Markets / Day
11.0
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
30.0m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 100s — normal for humanCV 1.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock45 trades/day — high frequency11 markets/day — mass coverage46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.32
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.9%
Mid (20-55c)21.9%
High (>55c)61.2%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 8:49:01 PM44 trades$1,13218 min
6/17/2026, 11:38:53 AM44 trades$80524 min
6/15/2026, 5:55:01 PM4 trades$6132 min
6/18/2026, 7:37:05 PM36 trades$49918 min
6/18/2026, 8:52:28 PM33 trades$46312 min
6/20/2026, 4:18:35 PM28 trades$4549 min
6/17/2026, 10:18:01 PM29 trades$4388 min
6/15/2026, 4:06:33 AM18 trades$4147 min
6/17/2026, 9:14:46 PM16 trades$4109 min
6/20/2026, 12:26:44 AM16 trades$4092 min
6/18/2026, 10:44:43 PM18 trades$39115 min
6/18/2026, 4:00:38 PM19 trades$3504 min
6/18/2026, 5:43:47 PM20 trades$3147 min
6/18/2026, 8:35:37 PM20 trades$29011 min
6/21/2026, 5:41:38 AM21 trades$2899 min
6/18/2026, 3:31:59 AM10 trades$2821 min
6/21/2026, 5:27:34 AM11 trades$2737 min
6/22/2026, 2:49:28 AM12 trades$2692 min
6/17/2026, 7:01:19 PM11 trades$2664 min
6/18/2026, 5:31:07 PM14 trades$2642 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-06
06-16
06-20
06-24
06-28
07-09
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.9 / M21.9 / H61.2