wizardsmagic

@wizardsmagic

#71,90452

0x18de697a860f8a92b4b4a320bf3354b1e2f11f14

~188d· 711 markets · 3290 tradesVol: $379,1882026-08-06 15:54:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (250/648)4.3/20
1.24x (win $2,531 / loss $2,035)5.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.15015/15
Sortino 2.15610/10
$+0.0945 per $1 invested4.7/10
HHI 752 (648 markets)8.7/10
56/151 profitable days (37%)1.8/10
Max DD 59% of peak ($716 / $1,211)2.2/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+1,240
Lottery Player
92% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#40,911$235Vol: $87,043
SPORTS#1,741,532$-201Vol: $71,667
🎭 CULTURE#33,353$43Vol: $71,238
📈 ECONOMICS#634,409$-25Vol: $67,128
💰 FINANCE#6,532$537Vol: $45,326
CRYPTO#48,118$393Vol: $20,681
🌤️ WEATHER#17,633$17Vol: $9,394
💻 TECH#3,792$216Vol: $3,318
📢 MENTIONS#22,325$7Vol: $2,755

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,240
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$379,188
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
711
total markets
Trades
2436B / 854S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~188d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,240
Vol: $379,188

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
250W / 398L events
Realized PnL
$1,240
Win Rate
39%
250W / 398L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $527 (0.42537247215029556% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on February 8?$196
Will Claude 5 be released on February 4, 2026?$171
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?$161
Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$150
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 9?$129
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$96
Will "Bridgerton: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)$95
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?$80
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?$79
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$76

Top Losers

New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $-144
Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 0.5$-140
Will Megadeth by Megadeth be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 7?$-105
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-101
Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?$-61
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$-40
US government shutdown Saturday?$-39
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-36
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$-35
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on March 30?$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.060
Sortino
0.098
HHI
137
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.111
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.8%
Top-5 markets
20.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.5
Active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 748s — normal for humanCV 6.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active3.4 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.57
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)91.6%
Mid (20-55c)3.1%
High (>55c)5.3%

Sessions

#12
3/31/2026, 9:38:37 PM3 trades$2,4220 min
7/9/2026, 12:55:02 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/16/2026, 1:45:19 PM3 trades$7490 min
4/6/2026, 1:01:07 AM2 trades$6000 min
4/16/2026, 7:03:38 PM2 trades$5000 min
4/23/2026, 2:17:56 AM8 trades$3530 min
7/17/2026, 2:54:24 PM10 trades$3240 min
6/26/2026, 8:32:17 PM10 trades$3085 min
4/1/2026, 7:33:29 PM4 trades$2180 min
6/13/2026, 10:13:21 PM4 trades$2000 min
6/25/2026, 7:27:11 PM8 trades$2000 min
7/7/2026, 8:29:07 PM8 trades$1960 min
5/28/2026, 1:17:40 AM7 trades$1901 min
6/25/2026, 1:24:17 PM5 trades$1850 min
4/12/2026, 9:48:29 PM3 trades$1850 min
6/25/2026, 1:53:25 AM8 trades$1807 min
2/4/2026, 10:33:07 PM2 trades$1781 min
1/26/2026, 11:20:55 PM2 trades$1701 min
1/27/2026, 1:47:21 PM2 trades$1601 min
5/12/2026, 5:35:11 PM9 trades$1530 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
01-13
02-11
03-11
04-19
06-08
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 105 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L91.6 / M3.1 / H5.3