@wrmoon

#202,61179

0x06e3ce0c67e6484c2ca69824dafb74188cd10f3e

~25d· 74 markets · 252 tradesVol: $18,3092026-08-04 16:20:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (38/74)10.7/20
1.63x (win $274 / loss $168)10.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.53515/15
Sortino 10.51710/10
$+0.1696 per $1 invested8.5/10
HHI 298 (74 markets)10/10
14/25 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 32% of peak ($43 / $137)7.7/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+141
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#5,869$141Vol: $18,309

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$141
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,309
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
74
total markets
Trades
116B / 136S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$7
Vol: $20
Month
$0
Vol: $81
All Time
$141
Vol: $18,309

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
38W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$141
Win Rate
51%
38W / 36L
Profit Factor
1.63x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $159 (1.1306290334018865% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 11?$80
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 27?$55
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 21?$25
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 1?$14
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on July 2?$14
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 11?$14
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 11?$12
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 20?$8
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 30?$8
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 3?$6

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 11?$-24
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 7?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 22?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 3?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 21?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 8?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 29?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 28?$-9
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 29?$-9
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on July 26?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.181
Sortino
0.632
HHI
313
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.170
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
29.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
34.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2040s — normal for humanCV 1.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal1.9 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.41
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25%
Mid (20-55c)19%
High (>55c)56%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 6:42:38 PM12 trades$864 min
7/11/2026, 11:53:23 AM7 trades$652 min
7/1/2026, 5:07:02 PM2 trades$610 min
7/3/2026, 3:54:02 PM2 trades$400 min
7/3/2026, 6:54:08 PM3 trades$320 min
6/27/2026, 5:59:22 PM6 trades$301 min
6/27/2026, 6:08:02 PM1 trades$300 min
6/29/2026, 9:00:43 AM5 trades$290 min
7/7/2026, 11:45:19 AM8 trades$285 min
7/21/2026, 5:58:03 PM2 trades$270 min
7/11/2026, 1:11:52 PM7 trades$262 min
6/29/2026, 9:48:49 AM5 trades$251 min
7/3/2026, 5:52:10 PM7 trades$242 min
7/2/2026, 10:01:34 PM3 trades$220 min
7/4/2026, 6:40:59 PM2 trades$210 min
7/13/2026, 6:43:04 PM2 trades$210 min
7/7/2026, 7:47:25 PM3 trades$200 min
7/5/2026, 4:50:55 AM1 trades$200 min
7/22/2026, 7:54:46 PM4 trades$180 min
7/7/2026, 1:26:05 PM2 trades$180 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-25
06-29
07-03
07-08
07-16
07-22
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25 / M19 / H56