@wxiaol

#2,546,94539

0x2dbaaa804975397e509bbfb0201f86a1d1dc7ac3

~39d· 40 markets · 80 tradesVol: $5,4672026-08-05 00:38:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

98% (39/40)20/20
0.52x (win $62 / loss $119)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6270/15
Sortino -1.6780/10
$-0.0119 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 692 (40 markets)9/10
29/30 profitable days (97%)10/10
Max DD 12783% of peak ($119 / $1)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 98%
Consistent
29/30 profitable days
Win Streak
31 wins in a row

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#177,350$9Vol: $2,589
💰 FINANCE#635,122$-114Vol: $1,554
🎭 CULTURE#101,210$4Vol: $896
₿ CRYPTO#406,031$1Vol: $428

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-100
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,467
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
55B / 25S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
98%
39W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$-100
Win Rate
98%
39W / 1L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-119

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $44 (0.4381841920257105% of PnL)

Top Winners

Netanyahu out by June 30?$29
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$11
Netanyahu out by May 31?$4
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $78 in July?$4
Trump out as President by March 31?$3
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$3
Will Anthropic’s Claude 4.5 Sonnet win the NOF1.ai competition?$1
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?$1
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?$1
Will Solana dip to $20 in February?$1

Top Losers

Will BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?$-119

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.084
Sortino
-1906.667
HHI
904
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.1%
Top-5 markets
54.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
57.7m
between trades
Night Trading
58%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.48
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 0.48 — uniform order sizes58% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.45
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 1:29:30 AM7 trades$3821 min
5/26/2026, 1:16:14 AM6 trades$2951 min
6/27/2026, 1:19:01 AM2 trades$2550 min
5/8/2026, 1:45:17 AM6 trades$2521 min
2/13/2026, 3:27:07 AM2 trades$2382 min
12/28/2025, 8:57:37 AM2 trades$2303 min
7/15/2026, 10:42:26 AM3 trades$1300 min
7/31/2026, 8:06:44 PM1 trades$1300 min
6/18/2026, 1:07:29 AM2 trades$1280 min
6/25/2026, 9:59:05 PM1 trades$1280 min
6/17/2026, 7:46:37 PM1 trades$1270 min
5/20/2026, 1:08:59 PM1 trades$1250 min
4/2/2026, 3:12:39 AM2 trades$1220 min
3/17/2026, 7:57:59 AM1 trades$1210 min
3/22/2026, 7:25:43 AM1 trades$1210 min
3/25/2026, 11:06:59 AM1 trades$1210 min
3/9/2026, 10:36:07 AM1 trades$1200 min
3/4/2026, 11:34:47 AM1 trades$1200 min
2/18/2026, 8:45:34 AM1 trades$1190 min
11/6/2025, 7:29:21 AM1 trades$1190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-02
12-01
01-03
01-25
03-04
05-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100