@x1D89B30…ca62

#88,87810

0xd9d0e992d702ae40dbee20f6d7033046dfe4542c

~150d· 533 markets · 6461 tradesVol: $860,9612026-08-04 19:05:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

12% (62/531)0/20
0.83x (win $2,200 / loss $2,658)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6430/15
Sortino -1.5140/10
$-0.0905 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 290 (531 markets)10/10
22/136 profitable days (16%)0/10
Max DD 229% of peak ($814 / $356)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+849
Lottery Player
91% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
6% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders

Categories

3
🎭 CULTURE#5,628$849Vol: $860,535
🏛️ POLITICS#352,959$1Vol: $382
🌤️ WEATHER#198,554$-1Vol: $44

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$849
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$860,961
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
533
total markets
Trades
6088B / 373S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~150d

Periods

#2
Today
$-92
Vol: $10,871
Week
$-116
Vol: $25,010
Month
$-107
Vol: $28,310
All Time
$849
Vol: $860,961

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
12%
62W / 465L events
Realized PnL
$849
Win Rate
12%
62W / 465L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,257 (1.4813282897915416% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$590
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$447
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$220
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$181
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$161
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$126
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$106
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$91
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$68
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$45

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-332
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-166
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$-149
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-140
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$-138
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$-96
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-60
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-52
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$-43
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-37

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.034
Sortino
-0.078
HHI
327
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.090
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.8%
Top-5 markets
33.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.5m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 518s — normal for humanCV 6.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency2.2 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.15
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)91.4%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)6.2%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 3:47:01 PM20 trades$1,0104 min
6/23/2026, 4:17:52 PM21 trades$5322 min
5/1/2026, 3:19:44 AM11 trades$4010 min
7/13/2026, 4:17:13 PM16 trades$2630 min
7/17/2026, 1:50:51 PM5 trades$2111 min
7/21/2026, 3:42:39 PM2 trades$1871 min
7/24/2026, 8:13:43 AM11 trades$1709 min
7/1/2026, 11:07:28 AM13 trades$1492 min
6/6/2026, 4:17:21 PM18 trades$1322 min
6/23/2026, 3:11:02 PM29 trades$1105 min
6/9/2026, 4:17:51 PM15 trades$1081 min
6/13/2026, 4:17:40 PM28 trades$10712 min
7/10/2026, 4:17:53 PM9 trades$1020 min
5/16/2026, 6:54:59 PM43 trades$969 min
6/10/2026, 4:17:30 PM12 trades$921 min
6/8/2026, 5:00:06 PM8 trades$905 min
6/12/2026, 2:41:39 PM9 trades$884 min
7/3/2026, 1:29:28 PM3 trades$883 min
7/4/2026, 4:17:58 PM4 trades$850 min
6/26/2026, 2:52:32 AM1 trades$750 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-09
03-20
04-19
05-11
06-07
06-30
07-31
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.15/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L91.4 / M2.4 / H6.2