xCryptonauty

@xCryptonauty

#3,017,08412

0xf707e54a8d8ddcc58b2a03883402b1e73bc7e8ce

~88d· 492 markets · 2826 tradesVol: $288,547 @0xZerodays2026-08-05 00:31:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (155/491)0.8/20
0.83x (win $14,955 / loss $18,011)0.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1570/15
Sortino -2.5980/10
$-0.0847 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 814 (491 markets)8.4/10
34/84 profitable days (40%)2.6/10
Max DD 267% of peak ($5,805 / $2,172)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,605,723$-711Vol: $109,183
SPORTS#1,850,148$-1,777Vol: $78,274
🌤️ WEATHER#287,421$-125Vol: $56,236
🎭 CULTURE#757,651$-45Vol: $12,728
💰 FINANCE#618,189$-49Vol: $1,892
🏛️ POLITICS#52,013$150Vol: $1,356
📢 MENTIONS#168,542$-182Vol: $1,190
📈 ECONOMICS#599,631$-10Vol: $714

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,664
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$288,547
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
492
total markets
Trades
1393B / 1433S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~88d

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $26
Week
$-10
Vol: $26
Month
$-55
Vol: $1,339
All Time
$-2,664
Vol: $288,547

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
155W / 336L events
Realized PnL
$-2,664
Win Rate
32%
155W / 336L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$96
Avg Loss
$-55

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,278 (1.2303162240780707% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?$1,789
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?$817
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?$672
Spurs vs. Knicks$483
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-09?$410
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$370
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on November 13?$331
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)$278
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?$269
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$248

Top Losers

Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?$-1,000
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?$-810
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-800
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?$-759
Will Juventus win on 2025-11-08?$-500
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$-323
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-309
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?$-300
Will Georgia win on 2025-10-14?$-300
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-292

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.112
Sortino
-0.126
HHI
131
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.082
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
18.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.8m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 210s — normal for humanCV 3.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.9
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.6%
Mid (20-55c)30.8%
High (>55c)29.6%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 10:33:50 PM2 trades$7,0000 min
6/4/2026, 8:10:15 PM227 trades$3,98179 min
6/1/2026, 10:54:01 PM2 trades$3,0000 min
6/4/2026, 12:12:19 AM10 trades$2,5643 min
11/4/2025, 7:57:15 PM1 trades$2,4800 min
6/1/2026, 10:26:12 PM4 trades$2,0202 min
6/3/2026, 11:05:31 PM90 trades$1,95135 min
11/4/2025, 6:03:23 PM1 trades$1,8070 min
11/5/2025, 7:59:03 PM1 trades$1,5860 min
6/3/2026, 9:18:10 PM85 trades$1,45518 min
6/4/2026, 7:26:16 AM76 trades$1,43232 min
10/31/2025, 6:29:43 PM1 trades$1,3910 min
6/16/2026, 8:47:27 AM19 trades$1,3521 min
6/4/2026, 11:04:30 PM49 trades$1,19812 min
6/9/2026, 8:13:30 PM27 trades$1,1747 min
6/5/2026, 7:22:39 AM44 trades$1,15818 min
10/28/2025, 10:09:25 PM2 trades$1,0721 min
10/30/2025, 12:38:31 PM1 trades$1,0240 min
10/28/2025, 10:44:15 PM2 trades$1,0051 min
11/5/2025, 6:05:33 PM1 trades$1,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-05
11-02
11-23
12-11
06-10
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 226 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
14% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.9/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.6 / M30.8 / H29.6