@xc4022

#263,25616

0x0c3e65c785df3d739b0c9f9fe8bcc05477fc502c

~61d· 25 markets · 5882 tradesVol: $1,942,9102026-08-03 16:53:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (8/20)5/20
0.06x (win $372 / loss $6,237)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.3260/15
Sortino -6.0060/10
$-0.0063 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1236 (20 markets)6.3/10
6/12 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($5,875 / $0)0/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+80
Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
0% sells
Whale
$928,949 invested
High Roller
$4,838/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders

Categories

6
SPORTS#178,778$41Vol: $1,024,039
📈 ECONOMICS#661,676$-113Vol: $483,543
🎭 CULTURE#18,730$119Vol: $317,900
🏛️ POLITICS#121,834$25Vol: $114,029
💰 FINANCE#71,465$6Vol: $3,000
CRYPTO#348,037$3Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$81
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,942,910
Total Redeem
$200
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
5859B / 23S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~61d

Periods

#2
Today
$16
Vol: $4,000
Week
$16
Vol: $4,000
Month
$16
Vol: $4,000
All Time
$81
Vol: $1,942,910

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
8W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$80
Win Rate
40%
8W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$47
Avg Loss
$-567

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $349 (4.340959960208903% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$308
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$17
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?$1

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,024
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,628
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-512
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$-30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-13
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-8
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$-4
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.317
Sortino
-0.227
HHI
790
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17%
Top-5 markets
56.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.9m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
23 min
Avg Trades / Session
33.2

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 4.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency0.1 markets/day — normal99% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
194.4
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)55.6%
Mid (20-55c)0.3%
High (>55c)44.1%

Sessions

#12
2/24/2026, 2:20:48 AM5 trades$39,2238 min
3/30/2026, 12:06:40 PM1 trades$38,3920 min
5/5/2026, 7:34:08 AM54 trades$33,12422 min
4/9/2026, 1:36:21 PM507 trades$21,082202 min
1/29/2026, 4:46:40 PM7 trades$20,21210 min
2/15/2026, 3:35:43 AM3 trades$19,8403 min
3/14/2026, 12:54:03 PM33 trades$19,67027 min
2/9/2026, 5:31:49 AM14 trades$13,86917 min
7/6/2026, 2:40:59 AM28 trades$13,14833 min
5/17/2026, 7:51:35 AM5 trades$13,0744 min
3/25/2026, 2:00:39 AM8 trades$12,9035 min
7/4/2026, 12:56:19 AM50 trades$12,62458 min
3/30/2026, 7:29:34 AM27 trades$12,02921 min
7/3/2026, 7:29:02 AM52 trades$11,61944 min
5/11/2026, 4:31:13 AM315 trades$10,165264 min
1/26/2026, 2:53:05 PM24 trades$10,00021 min
1/26/2026, 3:18:37 PM20 trades$9,97122 min
2/15/2026, 4:18:47 AM3 trades$9,8992 min
5/25/2026, 3:44:26 AM7 trades$9,8884 min
1/24/2026, 1:10:34 AM6 trades$9,88311 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-26
02-15
03-09
06-11
07-04
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 194.4/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.6 / M0.3 / H44.1