@xch001

#2,939,59820

0xc3fa1775c3739a60083d49919ddffdec1d9a4531

~29d· 612 markets · 2566 tradesVol: $106,0552026-08-04 20:37:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (261/612)6.3/20
0.80x (win $1,638 / loss $2,047)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5790/15
Sortino -3.0630/10
$-0.0790 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 205 (612 markets)10/10
13/29 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 811% of peak ($601 / $74)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#297,815$-1,059Vol: $102,990
CRYPTO#1,344,581$-36Vol: $2,203
🎭 CULTURE#707,356$-14Vol: $859
🏛️ POLITICS#487,781$0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,109
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$106,055
Total Redeem
$106
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
612
total markets
Trades
1352B / 1214S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,109
Vol: $106,055

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
261W / 351L events
Realized PnL
$-1,109
Win Rate
43%
261W / 351L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $600 (0.5412665350177185% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 29?$327
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 26?$160
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 19?$113
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 30?$96
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 27?$72
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 27?$66
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 7?$50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$38
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?$32

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 28?$-161
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 7?$-129
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on June 27?$-118
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 24?$-98
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 28?$-91
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 27?$-85
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 22?$-49
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 7?$-47
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 28?$-44
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 7?$-43

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.133
Sortino
-0.139
HHI
246
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.079
Kelly %
1.0%
Half-Kelly
0.5%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
27.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
39.5
Active
Markets / Day
9.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.4m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 228s — normal for humanCV 3.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock39 trades/day — high frequency9.4 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.19
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.3%
Mid (20-55c)45.5%
High (>55c)50.2%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 10:25:32 AM3 trades$4820 min
7/5/2026, 5:34:19 PM7 trades$3690 min
6/27/2026, 8:00:20 AM9 trades$2922 min
6/25/2026, 11:37:46 AM11 trades$2830 min
6/28/2026, 8:06:07 AM10 trades$2770 min
6/22/2026, 4:57:34 PM13 trades$2370 min
6/26/2026, 11:08:32 AM3 trades$2070 min
6/24/2026, 4:39:41 PM4 trades$1810 min
6/26/2026, 4:46:04 PM5 trades$1620 min
6/26/2026, 7:40:58 AM6 trades$1590 min
7/5/2026, 2:04:05 PM6 trades$1400 min
6/27/2026, 7:04:29 PM5 trades$1320 min
7/5/2026, 3:01:02 PM3 trades$1280 min
6/27/2026, 4:47:04 PM7 trades$1280 min
6/20/2026, 4:17:34 PM9 trades$1121 min
6/17/2026, 4:19:29 PM11 trades$1093 min
7/5/2026, 7:03:41 PM3 trades$1080 min
7/5/2026, 6:41:52 PM6 trades$1040 min
6/25/2026, 4:14:23 PM9 trades$990 min
6/27/2026, 2:02:37 PM10 trades$780 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-03
05-07
05-12
06-15
06-22
06-26
06-30
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.3 / M45.5 / H50.2