@xenonliu

#3,049,57337

0x94bde001e4a00152490c60bebe2aab120e8c6184

~172d· 281 markets · 5482 tradesVol: $1,688,000 @LiuXenonliu2026-08-04 19:58:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (167/260)17.1/20
0.44x (win $17,282 / loss $39,098)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6270/15
Sortino -1.6480/10
$-0.0213 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 290 (260 markets)10/10
80/117 profitable days (68%)9.6/10
Max DD 1339% of peak ($25,752 / $1,924)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 64%
DCA Master
Avg 17.6 entries/market
Whale
$1,026,447 invested
Consistent
80/117 profitable days
High Roller
$2,108/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#18,687$937Vol: $893,338
💰 FINANCE#658,070$-7,165Vol: $536,755
📈 ECONOMICS#9,469$160Vol: $163,786
SPORTS#1,666,402$-92Vol: $64,796
🎭 CULTURE#18,329$124Vol: $10,900
🌤️ WEATHER#245,938$-10Vol: $3,480
💻 TECH#8,151$55Vol: $1,572
📢 MENTIONS#12,621$27Vol: $1,390
CRYPTO#987,037$-3Vol: $1,372

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,404
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,688,000
Total Redeem
$237,194
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
281
total markets
Trades
3987B / 1495S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~172d

Periods

#2
Today
$8
Vol: $0
Week
$27
Vol: $0
Month
$37
Vol: $0
All Time
$-6,404
Vol: $1,688,000

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
166W / 93L events
Realized PnL
$-6,404
Win Rate
64%
166W / 93L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$103
Avg Loss
$-460

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,369 (1.1505796087640843% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$3,531
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,495
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,342
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$853
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$839
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$754
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$502
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$290
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$289
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?$275

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-22,655
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-4,095
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-3,604
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,587
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-882
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-531
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$-466
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-428
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-325
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-313

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.085
Sortino
-0.049
HHI
266
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.8%
Top-5 markets
28.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.3m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.1

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 184s — normal for humanCV 3.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active0.6 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.59
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.3%
Mid (20-55c)2.1%
High (>55c)93.6%

Sessions

#12
5/12/2026, 1:28:26 PM14 trades$30,7482 min
4/10/2026, 3:11:21 AM27 trades$24,0907 min
6/30/2026, 5:40:46 AM113 trades$20,6672 min
6/16/2026, 1:46:37 PM2 trades$19,9800 min
4/24/2026, 1:30:08 PM2 trades$14,0000 min
3/23/2026, 1:02:25 PM10 trades$13,19217 min
5/7/2026, 1:30:24 PM22 trades$11,3289 min
3/23/2026, 11:32:55 AM3 trades$11,0192 min
3/5/2026, 5:28:37 AM1 trades$10,2850 min
5/5/2026, 12:12:46 AM2 trades$10,2790 min
4/30/2026, 1:31:24 PM3 trades$10,0580 min
3/10/2026, 1:46:09 PM2 trades$10,0304 min
4/29/2026, 1:33:30 PM8 trades$9,9902 min
5/6/2026, 1:29:50 PM4 trades$9,9900 min
2/9/2026, 2:22:55 PM11 trades$9,7523 min
2/17/2026, 2:27:49 PM3 trades$9,4522 min
5/8/2026, 1:30:09 PM14 trades$9,35919 min
2/8/2026, 2:22:19 PM1 trades$9,1980 min
5/11/2026, 8:14:24 AM2 trades$8,9550 min
5/11/2026, 1:30:10 PM33 trades$8,50623 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-12
02-06
03-04
03-30
05-01
06-02
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 58 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.3 / M2.1 / H93.6