@xiaofeiming

#125,80388

0x2b27e9bbc753583a3a1ddc4b0a36197502144c31

~37d· 33 markets · 90 tradesVol: $11,0522026-08-05 16:38:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (17/28)15.4/20
3.41x (win $1,517 / loss $444)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.62715/15
Sortino 19.60310/10
$+0.2383 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1299 (28 markets)6/10
14/23 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($278 / $1,072)8.8/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+416
Consistent
14/23 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 26%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

6
💰 FINANCE#31,439$34Vol: $2,740
📈 ECONOMICS#645,789$-45Vol: $2,376
CRYPTO#57,023$266Vol: $1,897
🎭 CULTURE#92,140$5Vol: $1,580
🏛️ POLITICS#1,458,330$-47Vol: $800
💻 TECH#8,368$53Vol: $160

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$416
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,052
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
48B / 42S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
17W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$416
Win Rate
61%
17W / 11L
Profit Factor
3.41x
Avg Win
$89
Avg Loss
$-40

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,278 (3.0742584975102836% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$991
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)$149
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?$138
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?$89
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 7?$58
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?$53
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$24
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?$3
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?$3
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?$3

Top Losers

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$-182
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$-119
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?$-103
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?$-16
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?$-10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 6?$-8
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?$-4
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$-3
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 11?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.237
Sortino
0.710
HHI
822
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.307
Kelly %
34.2%
Half-Kelly
17.1%
Top-1 market
20.1%
Top-5 markets
55.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 244s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.61
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)60.4%

Sessions

#12
5/2/2026, 1:51:42 AM13 trades$94711 min
4/3/2026, 12:40:37 PM7 trades$9206 min
10/14/2025, 11:53:01 AM1 trades$7490 min
2/24/2026, 2:30:14 PM2 trades$6682 min
3/13/2026, 1:33:29 AM2 trades$6263 min
10/14/2025, 5:43:29 AM1 trades$5990 min
2/18/2026, 5:42:14 AM2 trades$5292 min
2/9/2026, 2:21:17 PM3 trades$3632 min
2/2/2026, 1:42:56 PM2 trades$3511 min
2/14/2026, 6:18:41 AM2 trades$3502 min
4/3/2026, 11:01:39 AM1 trades$3210 min
1/13/2026, 11:55:38 PM1 trades$3000 min
6/21/2026, 8:51:49 AM1 trades$2980 min
4/3/2026, 10:55:33 AM1 trades$2530 min
1/10/2026, 1:58:40 AM2 trades$2104 min
1/11/2026, 12:35:32 AM6 trades$19110 min
6/21/2026, 9:04:28 AM1 trades$1060 min
1/12/2026, 12:00:50 PM2 trades$881 min
1/12/2026, 12:37:52 PM2 trades$740 min
1/30/2026, 4:28:20 PM1 trades$400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-10
02-28
04-03
10-14
01-08
01-13
02-18
05-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 80 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.2 / M33.3 / H60.4