@xiaoyamama

#65,16272

0x9cefe51ca5380e8d66d25f9463900581a4ff8fa3

~61d· 787 markets · 7721 tradesVol: $141,7942026-08-04 21:50:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (233/787)0/20
1.52x (win $8,895 / loss $5,852)9/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.65415/15
Sortino 21.29010/10
$+0.1921 per $1 invested9.6/10
HHI 29 (787 markets)10/10
36/58 profitable days (62%)8/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($319 / $3,361)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,469
Contrarian
50% entries < $0.55
Consistent
36/58 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 9%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#1,221$1,469Vol: $141,794

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,469
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$141,794
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
787
total markets
Trades
3503B / 4218S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~61d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $1,373
Week
$-21
Vol: $4,467
Month
$-20
Vol: $6,003
All Time
$1,469
Vol: $141,794

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
233W / 554L events
Realized PnL
$1,469
Win Rate
30%
233W / 554L
Profit Factor
1.52x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $678 (0.4613206455521295% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 17?$232
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13?$223
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?$223
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?$190
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 8?$182
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?$182
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?$179
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 30?$147
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 10?$147
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?$146

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 9?$-156
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?$-97
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?$-94
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?$-78
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on June 6?$-76
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 4?$-69
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 12?$-64

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.449
Sortino
1.071
HHI
43
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.192
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
7.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
77.2
Very active
Markets / Day
7.9
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
20.7m
between trades
Night Trading
66%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 210s — normal for humanCV 1.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)66% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity77 trades/day — mass trading7.9 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.81
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29%
Mid (20-55c)21.4%
High (>55c)49.6%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 12:04:22 AM85 trades$52658 min
7/9/2026, 1:21:47 AM26 trades$3022 min
5/4/2026, 2:20:56 AM17 trades$25413 min
6/10/2026, 5:22:34 AM26 trades$23614 min
7/9/2026, 7:07:37 AM20 trades$23514 min
6/8/2026, 1:11:07 AM30 trades$21727 min
5/4/2026, 1:31:12 PM6 trades$2131 min
4/30/2026, 3:45:46 AM26 trades$21112 min
6/24/2026, 7:05:04 AM20 trades$20916 min
6/4/2026, 5:18:10 AM2 trades$2000 min
6/7/2026, 4:44:42 AM10 trades$1966 min
5/12/2026, 2:52:27 AM28 trades$19510 min
6/15/2026, 3:03:16 AM20 trades$1959 min
6/10/2026, 4:53:37 AM15 trades$1944 min
5/10/2026, 2:22:03 AM15 trades$18513 min
5/12/2026, 3:39:21 AM7 trades$1845 min
6/4/2026, 2:40:48 PM9 trades$1794 min
5/13/2026, 1:39:12 AM12 trades$1777 min
6/16/2026, 11:32:28 PM40 trades$16214 min
6/17/2026, 12:56:32 AM10 trades$1614 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-27
05-06
05-15
06-09
06-18
06-28
07-31
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.81/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29 / M21.4 / H49.6