@xiepopang

#2,414,62312

0x391f36290a1d463a43087b82b65b44274f73ec6e

~47d· 104 markets · 137 tradesVol: $74,2882026-08-05 03:06:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (26/104)0/20
0.93x (win $347 / loss $371)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3290/15
Sortino -0.5860/10
$-0.0107 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 343 (104 markets)10/10
10/47 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 481% of peak ($188 / $39)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
6% sells
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#1,371,981$-44Vol: $12,261
⚽ SPORTS#1,468,133$-20Vol: $516
🎭 CULTURE#102,443$4Vol: $56

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-61
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$74,288
Total Redeem
$48
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
104
total markets
Trades
129B / 8S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
26W / 78L events
Realized PnL
$-61
Win Rate
25%
26W / 78L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $293 (4.811575139756659% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$133
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 11?$105
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 11?$54
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 24?$4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 14?$4
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be nominated for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20?$3
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on January 8?$3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 12?$3
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 14?$3

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?$-93
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 11?$-53
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 7PM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10?$-8
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 13?$-7
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 16?$-7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 27?$-6
XRP Up or Down on January 12?$-6
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 23?$-6
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 2?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.017
Sortino
-0.029
HHI
369
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
26.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.6h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 7560s — normal for humanCV 1.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.32
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)65.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)34.9%

Sessions

#12
7/9/2026, 4:00:40 PM3 trades$2020 min
1/16/2026, 11:39:48 PM2 trades$1374 min
1/18/2026, 4:27:50 PM2 trades$1183 min
1/20/2026, 6:36:58 AM1 trades$1170 min
1/19/2026, 12:12:48 PM2 trades$1160 min
1/21/2026, 10:10:42 PM1 trades$1140 min
1/20/2026, 10:49:28 PM2 trades$1141 min
1/23/2026, 4:20:24 PM1 trades$1120 min
1/24/2026, 9:53:10 AM2 trades$1110 min
1/26/2026, 11:54:27 PM1 trades$1090 min
1/27/2026, 9:59:01 PM1 trades$1080 min
1/25/2026, 10:25:22 PM2 trades$1080 min
5/15/2026, 11:55:56 PM2 trades$960 min
1/29/2026, 9:06:30 AM2 trades$930 min
5/17/2026, 9:31:35 AM2 trades$690 min
5/19/2026, 3:07:00 AM2 trades$630 min
12/7/2025, 10:10:17 AM3 trades$613 min
1/13/2026, 10:24:42 PM1 trades$590 min
1/14/2026, 1:44:04 AM3 trades$590 min
1/7/2026, 10:14:09 PM2 trades$580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-23
12-04
12-23
01-12
01-19
01-27
05-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 124 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.32/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L65.1 / M0 / H34.9