@xilele

#2,255,08840

0xbd8b3dbe713ffd9f3221f6ac5c14e571dd9d5b4a

~49d· 56 markets · 258 tradesVol: $12,7642026-08-04 19:57:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

92% (49/53)20/20
0.64x (win $141 / loss $221)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0620/15
Sortino -1.0780/10
$-0.0118 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 321 (53 markets)10/10
39/41 profitable days (95%)10/10
Max DD 211% of peak ($220 / $104)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 92%
Consistent
39/41 profitable days
Win Streak
31 wins in a row

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#275,381$-48Vol: $12,438
🏛️ POLITICS#165,540$11Vol: $261
💰 FINANCE#127,050$1Vol: $66

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-36
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,764
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
56
total markets
Trades
86B / 172S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $77
Month
$1
Vol: $77
All Time
$-36
Vol: $12,764

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
92%
49W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-36
Win Rate
92%
49W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-74

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $50 (1.408157524613221% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 25?$30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 8?$11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 10?$9
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 8?$9
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12?$8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13?$7
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 9?$6
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 8?$4

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 15?$-220
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$-1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.055
Sortino
-1938.781
HHI
300
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
22.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.1h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10435s — normal for humanCV 0.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.81
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.2%
Mid (20-55c)1.2%
High (>55c)97.7%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 10:00:51 PM25 trades$7261 min
6/8/2026, 7:14:33 AM7 trades$3882 min
6/6/2026, 12:00:42 PM4 trades$3781 min
6/5/2026, 10:10:54 AM7 trades$3662 min
6/4/2026, 7:10:40 AM4 trades$3661 min
6/7/2026, 9:24:49 AM10 trades$3391 min
6/14/2026, 8:58:37 AM4 trades$3331 min
5/12/2026, 12:11:34 AM5 trades$3151 min
6/11/2026, 7:32:57 AM2 trades$2700 min
6/19/2026, 8:14:59 AM5 trades$2684 min
6/10/2026, 5:13:54 AM2 trades$2670 min
6/9/2026, 7:19:30 AM2 trades$2570 min
6/12/2026, 6:47:09 AM8 trades$2213 min
5/29/2026, 12:55:23 AM3 trades$2180 min
5/10/2026, 9:52:11 PM5 trades$2010 min
5/9/2026, 1:17:46 PM4 trades$1940 min
6/20/2026, 10:21:40 AM4 trades$1791 min
6/18/2026, 7:00:28 AM2 trades$1790 min
5/8/2026, 9:17:17 AM8 trades$1741 min
4/29/2026, 1:58:12 PM5 trades$1652 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
04-26
05-05
05-13
06-05
06-11
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
84% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.81/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.2 / M1.2 / H97.7