@ximi-m
#2,887,186250xcbdce00d6b34c36658b8dc2f05ce9ae3848df5e4
~18d· 126 markets · 396 tradesVol: $15,6472026-08-04 22:23:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (12/22)12.3/20
0.51x (win $365 / loss $719)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0650/15
Sortino -5.6220/10
$-0.0698 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 730 (22 markets)8.8/10
6/13 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($599 / $0)0/10
Badges
3Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,580,578$-293Vol: $3,405
🎭 CULTURE#785,660$-118Vol: $3,325
📈 ECONOMICS#657,830$-92Vol: $2,907
💰 FINANCE#635,450$-116Vol: $2,110
⚽ SPORTS#1,415,776$-15Vol: $1,300
💻 TECH#244,898$-54Vol: $1,117
📢 MENTIONS#132,342$-11Vol: $528
🌤️ WEATHER#219,859$-4Vol: $300
₿ CRYPTO#375,311$2Vol: $152
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-686
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,647
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
126
total markets
Trades
280B / 116S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d
Periods
#2Today
$-20
Vol: $707
Week
$-86
Vol: $2,520
Month
$-136
Vol: $3,694
All Time
$-686
Vol: $15,647
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
12W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-686
Win Rate
55%
12W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-72
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $258 (0.37586317414993736% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$122
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$90
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$46
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$32
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?$27
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$18
Will ZETA DIVISION Win EWC 2026: Overwatch?$16
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$5
Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?$3
Maduro out in 2025?$3
Top Losers
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-214
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$-145
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?$-139
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?$-79
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?$-62
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$-37
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?$-32
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?$-5
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?$-3
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in April 2026?$-3
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.255
Sortino
-0.289
HHI
54
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.263
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
13%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1053s — normal for humanCV 0.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.55
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.6%
Mid (20-55c)18.2%
High (>55c)68.2%
Sessions
#127/31/2026, 7:13:00 AM29 trades$3956 min
7/28/2026, 2:48:19 PM21 trades$3301 min
8/1/2026, 1:14:15 AM16 trades$2171 min
8/3/2026, 3:20:26 PM9 trades$2030 min
8/3/2026, 8:08:56 AM6 trades$1831 min
7/30/2026, 2:06:12 PM8 trades$1690 min
7/26/2026, 2:10:48 PM6 trades$1540 min
11/5/2025, 2:28:03 PM3 trades$1452 min
7/31/2026, 2:54:12 PM3 trades$1400 min
7/30/2026, 3:00:05 AM3 trades$1200 min
4/7/2026, 2:51:35 PM2 trades$1073 min
3/25/2026, 9:19:37 AM1 trades$1060 min
7/25/2026, 6:42:46 AM11 trades$1060 min
7/26/2026, 2:36:15 PM4 trades$1050 min
8/3/2026, 3:13:12 AM7 trades$1040 min
12/27/2025, 3:45:19 PM1 trades$1020 min
7/25/2026, 2:00:57 PM3 trades$1010 min
7/28/2026, 8:33:05 PM2 trades$970 min
7/25/2026, 3:57:33 PM4 trades$870 min
7/30/2026, 1:53:36 AM3 trades$810 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
03-04
03-27
07-25
07-27
07-29
08-03
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
4.5% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.55/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.6 / M18.2 / H68.2