@xinyuan

#19,08895

0x52ee6e7196709274b0a024a933ad6cfd7b972f52

~31d· 50 markets · 473 tradesVol: $196,7012026-08-04 21:05:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (30/41)20/20
6.71x (win $7,665 / loss $1,142)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.52915/15
Sortino 32.04310/10
$+0.1898 per $1 invested9.5/10
HHI 1347 (41 markets)5.8/10
20/26 profitable days (77%)10/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($932 / $7,451)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+7,174
Lottery Player
67% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 9.7 entries/market
Consistent
20/26 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#66,779$92Vol: $78,522
⚽ SPORTS#7,251$6,788Vol: $52,097
📈 ECONOMICS#3,339$889Vol: $47,973
💰 FINANCE#652,664$-754Vol: $15,757
₿ CRYPTO#149,364$34Vol: $957
💻 TECH#5,507$116Vol: $869
🎭 CULTURE#71,457$9Vol: $526

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,174
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$196,701
Total Redeem
$500
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
232B / 241S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$4
Vol: $0
All Time
$7,174
Vol: $196,701

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
30W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$7,174
Win Rate
73%
30W / 11L
Profit Factor
6.71x
Avg Win
$256
Avg Loss
$-114

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,391 (1.0303127461298798% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?$6,993
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$300
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?$98
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$65
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$40
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?$20
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$18
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$18
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$15
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$14

Top Losers

Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??$-731
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?$-190
Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?$-64
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-57
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??$-56
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?$-23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?$-16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$-4
Will another team win La Liga?$-1
Will the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.181
Sortino
0.916
HHI
595
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.224
Kelly %
65.8%
Half-Kelly
32.9%
Top-1 market
14.5%
Top-5 markets
47.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
17.0m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 192s — normal for humanCV 3.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.71
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)66.8%
Mid (20-55c)4.3%
High (>55c)28.9%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 3:38:09 PM48 trades$6,56224 min
4/8/2026, 8:07:27 AM21 trades$5,6133 min
1/5/2025, 5:28:03 PM3 trades$5,2111 min
1/11/2025, 1:37:21 AM1 trades$3,9490 min
1/14/2025, 7:22:51 AM2 trades$3,7481 min
4/8/2026, 2:38:35 AM15 trades$3,0982 min
1/28/2026, 4:09:00 PM5 trades$3,0652 min
6/27/2026, 12:16:44 PM11 trades$2,4953 min
4/11/2026, 5:44:19 PM19 trades$2,4250 min
4/9/2026, 3:09:51 PM5 trades$1,9460 min
1/11/2025, 2:05:16 AM3 trades$1,8912 min
4/7/2026, 4:59:45 PM8 trades$1,7064 min
5/22/2026, 4:02:57 PM6 trades$1,3311 min
12/13/2025, 3:31:01 PM1 trades$1,2290 min
1/28/2025, 6:27:50 AM2 trades$1,1751 min
4/8/2026, 2:22:53 AM15 trades$1,1254 min
3/10/2025, 5:51:17 AM1 trades$1,0760 min
2/28/2026, 1:59:33 PM2 trades$1,0540 min
12/31/2024, 3:49:02 AM3 trades$9531 min
4/7/2026, 4:15:21 PM28 trades$90732 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
01-28
08-30
11-05
12-15
04-08
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 119 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.71/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L66.8 / M4.3 / H28.9