xuguangyao

@xuguangyao

#2,812,7226

0x665e599d06fdf05fd81b647f8c41e713a110dc39

~9d· 15 markets · 91 tradesVol: $18,3232026-08-05 17:27:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (4/15)0/20
0.38x (win $1,050 / loss $2,740)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.1110/15
Sortino -8.0160/10
$-0.5779 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1330 (15 markets)5.9/10
1/9 profitable days (11%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($2,216 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,663,490$-90Vol: $9,241

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-372
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,323
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
15
total markets
Trades
33B / 58S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
4W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-372
Win Rate
27%
4W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$262
Avg Loss
$-304

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $995 (2.671061818572426% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 FC Petrolul Ploieşti?$525
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?$296
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$173
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$55

Top Losers

Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-1,280
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$-714
First Blood in Game 2?$-232
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?$-179
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-146
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$-96
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?$-40
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?$-28
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?$-24

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.400
Sortino
-0.456
HHI
1743
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.578
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32%
Top-5 markets
76.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
55%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
22
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 614s — normal for humanCV 1.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)55% night trades — never sleeps11/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.07
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.3%
Mid (20-55c)30.3%
High (>55c)42.4%

Sessions

#12
7/15/2026, 3:08:31 PM4 trades$1,9381 min
6/30/2026, 3:12:22 AM14 trades$1,0610 min
6/30/2026, 4:31:01 AM5 trades$9500 min
7/17/2026, 12:25:04 PM4 trades$7533 min
6/23/2026, 3:29:50 AM4 trades$5051 min
6/23/2026, 4:31:40 AM10 trades$4203 min
7/17/2026, 2:35:51 PM5 trades$4043 min
7/17/2026, 3:50:48 PM2 trades$3980 min
6/30/2026, 3:42:59 AM6 trades$3890 min
7/24/2026, 6:25:15 PM2 trades$3130 min
7/17/2026, 2:00:19 PM4 trades$2914 min
7/17/2026, 3:31:21 PM2 trades$2620 min
7/18/2026, 3:31:07 PM3 trades$2440 min
7/24/2026, 7:24:36 PM2 trades$1690 min
7/11/2026, 3:47:40 PM2 trades$1450 min
7/12/2026, 3:27:31 AM3 trades$1160 min
7/17/2026, 3:40:34 PM5 trades$1100 min
6/24/2026, 1:43:17 AM2 trades$1080 min
6/23/2026, 2:53:25 AM6 trades$831 min
7/17/2026, 1:50:12 PM2 trades$750 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-23
06-24
06-30
07-11
07-12
07-15
07-17
07-18
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.07/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.3 / M30.3 / H42.4