@yMKOUY11

#2,738,64422

0x8d3fcaac1967b23fedc8daacbbacde02b61e1bff

~47d· 93 markets · 189 tradesVol: $57,915 @paulhoggar2026-08-05 02:45:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (42/93)7.6/20
0.29x (win $66 / loss $233)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3720/15
Sortino -2.4080/10
$-0.0335 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 747 (93 markets)8.8/10
21/39 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($227 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

7
💰 FINANCE#469,658$-1Vol: $39,304
🏛️ POLITICS#1,230,825$-8Vol: $11,423
⚽ SPORTS#1,747,077$-214Vol: $5,027
₿ CRYPTO#1,155,668$-10Vol: $1,094
📈 ECONOMICS#433,276$-1Vol: $1,027
🎭 CULTURE#365,450$-0Vol: $28
📢 MENTIONS#67,542$-0Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-233
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$57,915
Total Redeem
$33
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
93
total markets
Trades
110B / 79S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $100
Month
$2
Vol: $100
All Time
$-233
Vol: $57,915

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
42W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$-233
Win Rate
45%
42W / 51L
Profit Factor
0.29x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $49 (0.211595320735313% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?$27
Will Solana dip to $60 June 1-7?$18
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in July?$5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?$3
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$1
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 4?$1
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$1
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?$1
Will Solana dip to $70 in April?$1

Top Losers

Capitals vs. Islanders$-212
Will Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025?$-5
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by January 31, 2025?$-3
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-3
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-2
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-2
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?$-2
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-1
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-1
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.123
Sortino
-0.079
HHI
661
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.033
Kelly %
18.4%
Half-Kelly
9.2%
Top-1 market
10.3%
Top-5 markets
51%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
37.1m
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 2.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.06
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.2%
Mid (20-55c)7.3%
High (>55c)84.5%

Sessions

#12
9/7/2024, 11:25:37 AM14 trades$6,0696 min
11/5/2024, 5:19:15 AM16 trades$6423 min
10/4/2024, 2:20:14 PM13 trades$4736 min
5/26/2024, 3:11:38 AM3 trades$2172 min
7/26/2024, 8:33:02 AM14 trades$2145 min
11/30/2025, 9:08:52 AM1 trades$2120 min
8/17/2024, 1:51:15 AM18 trades$1845 min
10/10/2024, 2:26:17 AM4 trades$755 min
5/26/2024, 3:21:02 AM7 trades$715 min
7/15/2024, 12:33:29 PM5 trades$698 min
5/22/2026, 12:33:14 PM4 trades$671 min
7/1/2024, 11:27:03 AM5 trades$653 min
11/11/2024, 11:01:47 AM6 trades$381 min
6/5/2026, 7:09:54 PM4 trades$360 min
10/5/2024, 1:26:29 AM1 trades$350 min
4/24/2026, 8:25:42 AM4 trades$341 min
8/4/2026, 11:21:32 AM4 trades$330 min
8/2/2026, 10:07:45 AM3 trades$330 min
7/30/2026, 4:35:09 AM2 trades$320 min
2/10/2025, 7:35:04 AM3 trades$323 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-26
09-07
12-05
05-24
11-30
05-22
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.2 / M7.3 / H84.5