@yourthos

#21,86560

0x4f1164d1531b8fb77919df285c576628318553b0

~13d· 35 markets · 806 tradesVol: $226,4192026-08-04 21:13:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (17/35)9.3/20
1.29x (win $4,711 / loss $3,651)6.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.08515/15
Sortino 2.80210/10
$+0.0278 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 915 (35 markets)7.9/10
9/13 profitable days (69%)9.8/10
Max DD 172% of peak ($1,822 / $1,060)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+6,040
DCA Master
Avg 23.1 entries/market
Consistent
9/13 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#288$6,586Vol: $216,565
SPORTS#1,820,900$-864Vol: $2,100
CRYPTO#1,420,715$-65Vol: $471

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,041
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$226,419
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
402B / 404S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Today
$26
Vol: $640
Week
$1,425
Vol: $9,293
Month
$2,693
Vol: $17,880
All Time
$6,041
Vol: $226,419

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
17W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$6,041
Win Rate
49%
17W / 18L
Profit Factor
1.29x
Avg Win
$277
Avg Loss
$-203

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,750 (0.45523052727423224% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3?$1,400
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 28?$871
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?$479
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?$440
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?$381
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?$211
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 16?$177
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?$168
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?$164
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29?$135

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?$-1,831
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-580
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?$-485
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$-280
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?$-280
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 22?$-45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 17?$-32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 16?$-24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?$-19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29?$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.105
Sortino
0.102
HHI
1013
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.7%
Top-5 markets
64%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
54s
between trades
Avg Gap
27.1m
between trades
Night Trading
79%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 54s — normal for humanCV 3.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)79% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule16 trades/day — very active0.7 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.06
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.9%
Mid (20-55c)21.6%
High (>55c)65.4%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 7:15:28 AM4 trades$5,2181 min
7/29/2026, 5:12:50 AM37 trades$3,63521 min
6/19/2026, 7:55:08 AM2 trades$2,9690 min
6/19/2026, 5:45:35 AM11 trades$2,6220 min
6/24/2026, 9:51:08 AM3 trades$1,8970 min
6/24/2026, 7:42:58 AM9 trades$1,8045 min
8/3/2026, 4:18:35 AM44 trades$1,65510 min
6/24/2026, 7:27:52 AM23 trades$1,4383 min
6/19/2026, 4:32:53 AM1 trades$1,3430 min
7/28/2026, 4:56:07 AM29 trades$1,3401 min
7/9/2026, 12:07:59 PM2 trades$1,2920 min
7/16/2026, 3:30:26 AM12 trades$1,1481 min
7/9/2026, 7:58:19 AM6 trades$1,1170 min
7/9/2026, 7:16:23 AM50 trades$1,09415 min
6/24/2026, 9:06:20 AM3 trades$1,0374 min
7/9/2026, 12:28:59 PM1 trades$1,0010 min
6/16/2026, 4:10:45 AM23 trades$9871 min
6/22/2026, 3:53:40 AM30 trades$8462 min
7/28/2026, 4:23:33 AM51 trades$7864 min
6/19/2026, 2:41:31 AM35 trades$64020 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-18
06-22
06-25
07-09
07-28
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
88.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.9 / M21.6 / H65.4