@yxchang
#2,388,373400xb3cf19361373a6f961f02a0981e13d3007f3eca7
~42d· 42 markets · 79 tradesVol: $4,9182026-08-04 21:51:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
98% (40/41)20/20
0.26x (win $17 / loss $66)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5590/15
Sortino -2.5460/10
$-0.0125 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 462 (41 markets)10/10
30/31 profitable days (97%)10/10
Max DD 1838% of peak ($66 / $4)0/10
Badges
3Sniper
Win rate 98%
Consistent
30/31 profitable days
Win Streak
36 wins in a row
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#199,438$6Vol: $2,193
₿ CRYPTO#395,367$1Vol: $1,054
💰 FINANCE#104,185$2Vol: $1,028
🎭 CULTURE#769,690$-66Vol: $644
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-56
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,918
Total Redeem
$227
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
42
total markets
Trades
57B / 22S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d
Periods
#2Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $120
All Time
$-56
Vol: $4,918
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
98%
40W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$-56
Win Rate
98%
40W / 1L
Profit Factor
0.26x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-66
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9 (0.15359712230215825% of PnL)
Top Winners
Trump out as President by June 30?$4
Trump out as President by March 31?$2
Netanyahu out by May 31?$2
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 4?$1
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?$1
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1?$1
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat lose the NOF1.ai competition?$1
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 2?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?$0
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$-66
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.132
Sortino
-1579.677
HHI
548
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12%
Top-5 markets
41.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
42.8m
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 0.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.07
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%
Sessions
#127/25/2026, 1:14:55 AM2 trades$2370 min
6/9/2026, 8:07:10 AM6 trades$2351 min
3/16/2026, 2:57:49 AM3 trades$2243 min
12/15/2025, 3:14:15 AM3 trades$2213 min
1/1/2026, 3:09:25 AM2 trades$2040 min
12/26/2025, 5:52:19 AM2 trades$1831 min
7/29/2026, 10:20:44 PM1 trades$1190 min
8/1/2026, 1:03:08 AM1 trades$1180 min
6/20/2026, 8:04:49 AM2 trades$1180 min
6/29/2026, 12:48:02 PM4 trades$1180 min
6/28/2026, 2:27:23 AM1 trades$1180 min
7/15/2026, 2:06:50 PM1 trades$1180 min
5/31/2026, 7:37:39 AM2 trades$1170 min
5/22/2026, 11:27:16 AM1 trades$1160 min
5/31/2026, 12:04:52 PM1 trades$1160 min
4/23/2026, 10:32:32 AM2 trades$1160 min
4/2/2026, 8:07:49 AM5 trades$1150 min
3/7/2026, 9:57:59 PM1 trades$1130 min
1/7/2026, 10:44:35 AM1 trades$1110 min
3/27/2026, 7:57:13 AM1 trades$1110 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-01
12-02
01-09
02-06
03-17
05-31
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.07/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100