@zidann

#2,901,32327

0xa44ddc4e4643f0bf78bcb54e3eefc02f8b3adf91

~18d· 22 markets · 97 tradesVol: $8,2492026-08-04 19:44:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (13/21)16/20
0.49x (win $752 / loss $1,529)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.2080/15
Sortino -5.5470/10
$-0.2864 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1129 (21 markets)6.9/10
6/13 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 409% of peak ($1,029 / $252)0/10

Badges

1
Sniper
Win rate 62%

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#649,351$-466Vol: $6,845
💻 TECH#253,454$-218Vol: $890
🏛️ POLITICS#1,527,265$-107Vol: $483
₿ CRYPTO#338,522$3Vol: $32

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-788
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,249
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
40B / 57S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
13W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-788
Win Rate
62%
13W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.49x
Avg Win
$58
Avg Loss
$-191

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $497 (0.6305153122066324% of PnL)

Top Winners

Grokipedia released by October 31?$210
Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?$157
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$131
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?$99
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?$54
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$34
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?$25
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$21
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?$9
Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?$6

Top Losers

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$-505
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$-326
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?$-261
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$-183
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$-100
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$-82
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?$-53
OpenAI browser by October 31?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.262
Sortino
-0.297
HHI
932
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.299
Kelly %
14.1%
Half-Kelly
7.1%
Top-1 market
18.6%
Top-5 markets
60.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 318s — normal for humanCV 0.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.38
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.5%
Mid (20-55c)37.5%
High (>55c)60%

Sessions

#12
10/27/2025, 11:40:21 PM1 trades$4360 min
1/26/2026, 3:53:15 PM1 trades$4210 min
1/30/2026, 3:49:58 AM4 trades$3805 min
11/18/2025, 2:22:45 AM3 trades$2203 min
10/28/2025, 12:18:53 AM2 trades$2062 min
10/24/2025, 11:25:07 PM2 trades$2042 min
10/15/2025, 2:35:27 AM4 trades$2008 min
10/28/2025, 12:12:35 AM1 trades$2000 min
10/15/2025, 2:47:43 PM1 trades$1740 min
1/6/2026, 1:55:11 AM1 trades$1610 min
6/26/2026, 8:47:13 AM51 trades$1570 min
11/18/2025, 2:14:49 AM1 trades$1370 min
12/11/2025, 8:03:33 PM1 trades$1250 min
12/11/2025, 7:55:43 PM1 trades$1250 min
10/15/2025, 1:21:59 AM1 trades$1000 min
10/23/2025, 7:33:49 PM2 trades$1002 min
10/15/2025, 2:06:43 AM1 trades$870 min
11/24/2025, 11:33:11 PM2 trades$703 min
10/9/2025, 11:31:54 PM1 trades$600 min
10/23/2025, 7:42:43 PM1 trades$600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-09
10-14
10-18
11-18
12-11
01-30
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 220 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.5 / M37.5 / H60