zubr

@zubr

#101,25575

0xfa22bcefc000bc46ff7e6a1ed1a4f5e3344069a6

~83d· 119 markets · 313 tradesVol: $22,5902026-08-04 20:39:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (82/111)20/20
1.37x (win $2,901 / loss $2,123)7.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.82215/15
Sortino 2.36810/10
$+0.0579 per $1 invested2.9/10
HHI 424 (111 markets)10/10
47/62 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 97% of peak ($752 / $778)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 74%
Profitable
PnL $+665
Consistent
47/62 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#25,206$572Vol: $22,059
₿ CRYPTO#119,789$58Vol: $296
📈 ECONOMICS#23,554$30Vol: $210
💻 TECH#25,078$5Vol: $25

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$665
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,590
Total Redeem
$434
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
119
total markets
Trades
216B / 97S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~83d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$5
Vol: $0
Month
$5
Vol: $0
All Time
$665
Vol: $22,590

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
82W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$665
Win Rate
74%
82W / 29L
Profit Factor
1.37x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-79

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $793 (1.1935493576435898% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?$370
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$221
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?$203
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$121
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$119
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$105
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?$101
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$98
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$87
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$82

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$-398
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?$-383
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-213
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-200
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?$-155
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-133
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?$-120
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$-59
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$-49

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.095
Sortino
0.071
HHI
427
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.056
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.9%
Top-5 markets
35.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 480s — normal for humanCV 1.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.18
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.9%
Mid (20-55c)22.7%
High (>55c)75.5%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 1:49:31 PM8 trades$1,5662 min
1/12/2026, 10:08:26 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
4/7/2026, 10:36:15 PM4 trades$7261 min
4/6/2026, 9:14:59 PM6 trades$5181 min
10/22/2025, 9:36:15 PM2 trades$4001 min
7/27/2026, 6:15:39 PM7 trades$3592 min
4/7/2026, 9:04:51 PM5 trades$3110 min
4/7/2026, 8:33:35 PM6 trades$3050 min
5/25/2026, 8:54:22 PM2 trades$3000 min
4/1/2026, 2:38:51 PM9 trades$2771 min
12/1/2025, 8:30:50 AM7 trades$26818 min
11/12/2025, 2:38:34 PM2 trades$2471 min
11/19/2025, 4:46:57 PM2 trades$2001 min
10/10/2025, 2:41:22 PM1 trades$2000 min
10/14/2025, 9:56:59 AM1 trades$2000 min
10/16/2025, 8:47:09 PM2 trades$2000 min
11/9/2025, 9:28:45 PM1 trades$2000 min
1/12/2026, 9:59:18 AM2 trades$2001 min
1/13/2026, 12:24:27 PM2 trades$2002 min
4/13/2026, 11:15:51 AM2 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-09
10-28
11-27
12-22
03-02
04-01
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 47 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.9 / M22.7 / H75.5