@zwilliams

#356,64552

0x18435f2d465b1045cc2f9d3c809f480e20433b20

~30d· 59 markets · 129 tradesVol: $6,3932026-08-04 22:37:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (19/59)1.1/20
8.09x (win $40 / loss $5)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.18615/15
Sortino 42.55810/10
$+0.0115 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 2619 (59 markets)0/10
9/30 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 12% of peak ($5 / $38)10/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+35
Cool Head
Max DD 12%
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#192,937$34Vol: $6,270
💰 FINANCE#194,166$0Vol: $61
₿ CRYPTO#463,325$1Vol: $55
🏛️ POLITICS#549,769$0Vol: $3
🌤️ WEATHER#146,640$0Vol: $2
🎭 CULTURE#337,486$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$35
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,393
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
59
total markets
Trades
78B / 51S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$35
Vol: $6,393

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
19W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$35
Win Rate
32%
19W / 40L
Profit Factor
8.09x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $39 (1.1208345407128368% of PnL)

Top Winners

Pacers vs. 76ers$22
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-15?$16
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?$0
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of April?$0
Sabres vs. Capitals$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Apr 18?$0
Dogecoin above $0.26 on February 28?$0
Pacers vs. Suns$0
Solana above $190 on January 17?$0

Top Losers

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Jazz vs. Pistons$-1
Panthers vs. Oilers$-0
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-16?$-0
Hawks vs. Spurs$-0
Lions vs. Bears$-0
Clippers vs. Nuggets$-0
Senators vs. Hurricanes$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.164
Sortino
1.226
HHI
2505
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
31.7%
Half-Kelly
15.9%
Top-1 market
28.9%
Top-5 markets
88%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 274s — normal for humanCV 4.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.19
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.8%
Mid (20-55c)23.1%
High (>55c)73.1%

Sessions

#12
2/16/2025, 11:52:27 AM1 trades$8700 min
2/16/2025, 9:17:58 AM1 trades$8690 min
2/16/2025, 2:16:05 PM1 trades$8690 min
2/16/2025, 2:44:16 PM1 trades$8690 min
2/16/2025, 11:32:41 AM1 trades$8680 min
2/16/2025, 3:25:44 PM1 trades$8680 min
12/16/2024, 5:55:30 PM5 trades$453 min
12/15/2024, 10:58:50 AM2 trades$411 min
6/25/2026, 12:51:20 PM2 trades$410 min
12/19/2024, 6:49:58 AM6 trades$403 min
12/19/2024, 8:11:40 AM2 trades$262 min
12/19/2024, 4:54:44 AM4 trades$254 min
12/13/2024, 4:35:27 PM2 trades$231 min
12/17/2024, 10:45:36 PM3 trades$224 min
10/19/2025, 6:42:57 AM1 trades$210 min
12/13/2024, 5:08:43 PM2 trades$211 min
5/25/2026, 1:19:34 AM2 trades$210 min
12/13/2024, 5:17:51 AM2 trades$213 min
12/18/2024, 3:14:27 PM4 trades$202 min
4/24/2026, 9:45:56 AM2 trades$190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-13
12-19
01-16
02-16
04-17
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 65 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.8 / M23.1 / H73.1