@zxmncjaskhf

#145,17011

0xaaf24e02d8190f2ff19196e577b20a1260230f35

~19d· 41 markets · 240 tradesVol: $20,9212026-08-04 17:21:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (15/41)3.3/20
0.47x (win $1,177 / loss $2,501)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.8780/15
Sortino -6.3710/10
$-0.3313 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1034 (41 markets)7.3/10
4/17 profitable days (24%)0/10
Max DD 1856% of peak ($1,911 / $103)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+302
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

2
SPORTS#80,017$246Vol: $19,960
CRYPTO#121,361$56Vol: $962

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$302
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,921
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
73B / 167S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
15W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$302
Win Rate
37%
15W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$78
Avg Loss
$-125

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $916 (3.0344359458296086% of PnL)

Top Winners

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$814
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$39
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$34
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$31
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?$27
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$23
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$20
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18

Top Losers

Will Belgium be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$-644
Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$-610
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$-330
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-240
Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-231
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$-139
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-86
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$-50
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?$-46
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.298
Sortino
-0.341
HHI
1401
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.321
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.2%
Top-5 markets
67%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
60%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
41
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 268s — normal for humanCV 2.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)60% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule6 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.29
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.5%
Mid (20-55c)20.5%
High (>55c)58.9%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 1:15:44 AM13 trades$2,7972 min
7/10/2026, 5:02:40 AM10 trades$1,5543 min
7/3/2026, 2:08:14 AM11 trades$1,1590 min
7/8/2026, 2:53:41 AM9 trades$7860 min
7/1/2026, 10:19:14 AM6 trades$4900 min
6/5/2026, 6:22:13 AM45 trades$42326 min
7/1/2026, 12:43:07 AM5 trades$3950 min
7/1/2026, 3:06:40 AM4 trades$3810 min
7/7/2026, 12:22:16 AM12 trades$3280 min
7/2/2026, 8:36:28 PM4 trades$2720 min
6/28/2026, 1:12:17 AM7 trades$2140 min
6/16/2026, 2:05:18 AM8 trades$1661 min
6/4/2026, 5:05:06 AM6 trades$1483 min
6/4/2026, 1:50:34 AM5 trades$1262 min
6/15/2026, 8:21:10 AM3 trades$1110 min
6/16/2026, 9:53:45 AM12 trades$719 min
7/7/2026, 1:38:26 AM6 trades$711 min
6/15/2026, 7:20:21 AM4 trades$651 min
6/28/2026, 12:58:02 AM7 trades$513 min
6/4/2026, 6:20:48 AM11 trades$464 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-04
06-15
06-17
06-22
06-27
07-01
07-06
07-08
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 36 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.29/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.5 / M20.5 / H58.9