Multi-outcome · 5 open · 2 closed hidden
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Volume $629.3kTraders 392Trades 20,548
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
open · $187.3k
45.0%
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
open · $211.8k
28.5%
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
open · $414.1k
16.0%
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
open · $65.6k
9.2%
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
open · $142.8k
0.9%
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