Multi-outcome · 6 open · 4 closed hidden
GPT-6 released by…?
Volume $1.04MTraders 2,073Trades 23,385
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
open · $98.4k
91.0%
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
open · $126.7k
66.5%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
open · $99.4k
22.5%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?
open · $59.0k
14.5%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?
open · $68.6k
2.6%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?
open · $85.7k
1.8%
Top event traders (30d)
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- 0x28b2…eb4f4 mkts · $18.0k
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- 0x460a…d7382 mkts · $14.2k
- 0x4138…6a242 mkts · $12.6k
- 0xc3fc…484a7 mkts · $12.2k
- 0x853c…bd031 mkts · $11.9k
- 0x1d62…d76b1 mkts · $11.2k