Multi-outcome · 24 open
Who will be arrested before 2027?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?
open · $1.3k
50.0%
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
open · $17.6k
28.5%
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?
open · $20.8k
18.5%
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?
open · $4.9k
17.0%
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?
open · $2.4k
16.5%
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?
open · $2.3k
12.5%
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?
open · $3.1k
12.0%
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
open · $92.2k
11.3%
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested before 2027?
open · $794
10.9%
Will Susan Rice be arrested before 2027?
open · $303
8.0%
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?
open · $9.6k
7.8%
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?
open · $38.8k
7.0%
Will Candace Owens be arrested before 2027?
open · $263
5.6%
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?
open · $751
5.5%
Will John Kerry be arrested before 2027?
open · $210
5.5%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?
open · $1.8k
4.2%
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?
open · $36.7k
3.6%
Will Kash Patel be arrested before 2027?
open · $352
3.6%
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?
open · $23.5k
3.5%
Will Pam Bondi be arrested before 2027?
open · $1.6k
3.3%
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?
open · $16.3k
3.3%
Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?
open · $1.8k
2.7%
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?
open · $27.2k
1.9%
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?
open · $5.4k
1.8%
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