Multi-outcome · 21 open
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $5.7k
47.4%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $16.4k
10.7%
Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $1.1k
6.5%
Will Chris Wright be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $710
4.9%
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $3.4k
4.4%
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $939
4.0%
Will Russell T. Vought be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $473
3.1%
Will Brooke Rollins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $670
2.5%
Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $756
2.3%
Will J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $581
2.1%
Will Sean Duffy be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $561
1.6%
Will Lee Zeldin be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $413
1.2%
Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $498
1.1%
Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $737
0.9%
Will Scott Turner be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $351
0.8%
Will Linda McMahon be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $847
0.8%
Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $754
0.7%
Will Doug Collins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $506
0.7%
Will Jamieson Greer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $478
0.7%
Will Mike Waltz be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $518
0.6%
Will John Ratcliffe be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
open · $517
0.5%
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