DuneMentat

@DuneMentat

#3,021,97535

0x28ca4e9a04531f2eac0c2770f95db4e1c6a65d19

~302d· 3100 markets · 27368 tradesVol: $3,151,1022026-08-02 06:30:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (1873/2827)18.1/20
0.89x (win $300,915 / loss $336,594)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5260/15
Sortino -0.6860/10
$-0.0247 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 52 (2827 markets)10/10
146/282 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 539% of peak ($48,676 / $9,037)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 66%
DCA Master
Avg 8.7 entries/market
Whale
$1,443,680 invested
High Roller
$3,902/day
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,877,358$-12,752Vol: $913,178
🏛️ POLITICS#1,836$25,277Vol: $806,897
🎭 CULTURE#816,230$-15,761Vol: $654,920
📢 MENTIONS#106$18,644Vol: $264,147
📈 ECONOMICS#2,121$1,789Vol: $214,452
💰 FINANCE#656,961$-8,358Vol: $133,038
💻 TECH#240,568$-36Vol: $53,138
CRYPTO#29,334$1,059Vol: $20,385
🌤️ WEATHER#298,014$-1,942Vol: $7,925

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,155
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,151,102
Total Redeem
$19,158
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3100
total markets
Trades
14216B / 13152S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~302d

Periods

#2
Today
$2,190
Vol: $2,137
Week
$7,336
Vol: $2,137
Month
$2,368
Vol: $5,127
All Time
$-3,155
Vol: $3,151,102

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
1873W / 954L events
Realized PnL
$-3,166
Win Rate
66%
1873W / 954L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$161
Avg Loss
$-373

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $56,620 (17.88336681322013% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$20,967
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$19,139
Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?$16,514
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?$13,495
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights $10,376
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$6,794
US government shutdown Saturday?$5,196
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$5,097
Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$3,615
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$3,344

Top Losers

Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-24,606
Kash Patel out by June 30?$-11,717
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$-9,537
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8,299
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$-7,412
DoorDash total orders above 940M in Q1?$-7,193
Kash Patel out by April 30?$-6,318
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$-6,125
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$-6,103
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-5,491

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.028
Sortino
-0.026
HHI
46
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
10.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
74.0
Very active
Markets / Day
8.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.7m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
57.3

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 170s — normal for humanCV 2.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock74 trades/day — mass trading8.4 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.69
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.6%
Mid (20-55c)20.9%
High (>55c)60.6%

Sessions

#12
5/11/2026, 2:44:39 PM445 trades$54,0201 min
3/17/2026, 4:35:39 PM43 trades$16,05312 min
5/1/2026, 9:15:24 PM90 trades$14,51719 min
5/4/2026, 11:29:00 AM42 trades$14,46812 min
5/16/2026, 7:15:03 PM321 trades$13,716124 min
7/14/2026, 9:18:11 PM87 trades$12,28218 min
7/19/2026, 7:05:21 PM59 trades$11,46621 min
4/12/2026, 7:58:45 PM14 trades$11,2589 min
6/10/2026, 2:15:13 AM46 trades$11,04113 min
5/26/2026, 11:44:58 PM27 trades$10,2547 min
6/11/2026, 9:24:57 PM74 trades$10,11527 min
5/19/2026, 9:33:12 PM43 trades$10,00016 min
5/13/2026, 7:54:26 PM101 trades$9,84026 min
5/1/2026, 9:52:46 PM5 trades$9,2770 min
5/16/2026, 10:05:11 PM344 trades$9,26854 min
3/22/2026, 8:26:07 PM58 trades$9,16350 min
6/9/2026, 11:54:55 AM80 trades$9,0672 min
10/27/2025, 1:32:27 PM1 trades$8,9350 min
3/15/2026, 9:20:13 PM53 trades$8,63844 min
5/23/2026, 12:35:04 PM80 trades$8,63127 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-29
10-29
12-19
02-09
04-28
06-16
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 131 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.6 / M20.9 / H60.6