Multi-outcome · 5 open
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Volume $1.2kTraders 26Trades 69
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in August 2026?
open · $569
61.0%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in August 2026?
open · $234
30.0%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in August 2026?
open · $177
13.5%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in August 2026?
open · $366
3.4%
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