Multi-outcome · 6 markets
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Volume $63.8kTraders 257Trades 1,413
Probability ladder across child markets. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?
open · $38.8k
37.5%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%?
open · $8.1k
28.5%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 15–20%?
open · $508
6.3%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%?
open · $400
3.8%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%?
open · $667
3.6%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–10%?
open · $5.8k
0.9%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0xb1ca…17054 mkts · $24.7k
- 0x41ea…7a3d1 mkts · $5.0k
- 0xf265…3e9d1 mkts · $3.8k
- 0x9e9c…74df1 mkts · $2.5k
- 0xfe41…9f231 mkts · $2.1k
- 0x2b9d…95f44 mkts · $2.0k
- 0xd312…5cc41 mkts · $1.9k
- 0xbd14…76b42 mkts · $1.9k
- 0xc9be…07561 mkts · $1.9k
- 0x52eb…67ac2 mkts · $1.7k
- 0x6565…c2351 mkts · $1.6k
- 0xdb97…eee82 mkts · $1.6k
- 0x41e6…66b72 mkts · $1.4k
- 0x30fb…7db43 mkts · $1.4k
- 0x6514…3e5b1 mkts · $1.2k