@tradetosurvive1

#3,069,07519

0x30fb41b5a08fff5d3dd983f6323e3343931a7db4

~46d· 1763 markets · 11710 tradesVol: $1,860,1662026-08-03 16:11:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (531/1238)6.4/20
0.84x (win $24,173 / loss $28,897)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2460/15
Sortino -2.9790/10
$-0.0201 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 115 (1238 markets)10/10
18/45 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 742% of peak ($6,881 / $927)0/10

Badges

7
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
1% sells
Whale
$234,629 invested
High Roller
$5,101/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#299,093$-12,933Vol: $860,658
💰 FINANCE#657,711$-7,901Vol: $408,530
🏛️ POLITICS#1,634,611$-5,824Vol: $200,800
📢 MENTIONS#176,182$-3,166Vol: $100,319
SPORTS#1,836,280$-1,209Vol: $88,160
🎭 CULTURE#815,486$-4,762Vol: $85,237
💻 TECH#256,832$-899Vol: $66,420
📈 ECONOMICS#678,282$-950Vol: $32,940
CRYPTO#1,570,570$-346Vol: $6,046

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-37,961
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,860,166
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1763
total markets
Trades
11629B / 81S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$-830
Vol: $59,908
Week
$-830
Vol: $131,660
Month
$-3,822
Vol: $187,850
All Time
$-37,961
Vol: $1,860,166

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
530W / 703L events
Realized PnL
$-38,262
Win Rate
43%
530W / 703L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$46
Avg Loss
$-41

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,253 (0.11116259862996157% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$1,936
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$1,540
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?$777
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$723
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$665
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?$528
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30?$522
Will Richard Carapaz be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$422
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?$394
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?$381

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-2,310
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$-833
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$-721
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$-639
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$-569
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$-527
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-523
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$-495
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?$-450
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$-397

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.116
Sortino
-0.151
HHI
67
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
14.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
254.6
Very active
Markets / Day
38.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.0m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
35 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.8

Bot Detection

#6
85
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 150s — normal for humanCV 1.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock255 trades/day — automation38 markets/day — mass coverage99% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.19
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.6%
Mid (20-55c)38.7%
High (>55c)48.7%

Sessions

#12
7/31/2026, 12:01:00 AM63 trades$2,08979 min
7/9/2026, 12:32:25 AM134 trades$1,919117 min
7/31/2026, 2:47:30 AM53 trades$1,43884 min
7/22/2026, 1:45:54 AM53 trades$1,05483 min
7/11/2026, 11:53:28 PM9 trades$1,04315 min
7/22/2026, 8:55:33 AM63 trades$1,03286 min
7/6/2026, 10:15:58 PM3 trades$1,0164 min
7/8/2026, 6:33:25 AM12 trades$98919 min
7/26/2026, 12:17:48 AM38 trades$96659 min
7/12/2026, 2:29:58 AM12 trades$96529 min
7/11/2026, 3:43:37 AM11 trades$92921 min
7/7/2026, 7:06:11 PM19 trades$90825 min
7/31/2026, 4:29:59 AM22 trades$86637 min
7/8/2026, 12:23:05 AM17 trades$84717 min
7/7/2026, 5:50:43 PM17 trades$83221 min
7/22/2026, 5:30:01 AM59 trades$80872 min
8/1/2026, 1:54:59 AM13 trades$80029 min
7/8/2026, 12:16:34 PM60 trades$78995 min
7/22/2026, 3:22:06 AM56 trades$74279 min
7/28/2026, 3:04:57 AM28 trades$73748 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-20
06-27
07-04
07-11
07-18
07-25
08-01
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
18% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.6 / M38.7 / H48.7