Multi-outcome · 8 open · 8 closed hidden
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
Volume $1.48MTraders 324Trades 17,700
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
open · $312.5k
62.6%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
open · $60.2k
25.8%
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?
open · $26.7k
6.3%
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?
open · $26.3k
4.3%
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?
open · $44.8k
1.3%
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?
open · $125.8k
0.5%
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