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Next French Presidential ElectionActive 271 days left

Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?

0x0b298ab2b2cad3308d486c804985c1ede7ea949bde363f44784a3b2a460be788

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $5.26M · whales 24h net $47 (2 wallets) · 7d net $10.5k · 41/41 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$5.26M

CLOB

Traders

6,570

56,116 trades

Yes 0.1%No 99.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$47

Buy

$47

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$10.5k

Buy

$14.6k

Sell

$4.1k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($47)
•7d whale net still positive ($10.5k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-02 02:53:35

100.2¢$8

NOBUY2026-08-02 02:53:35

50000.0¢$8

NOBUY2026-08-02 02:53:18

99.9¢$8

—BUY2026-08-02 02:53:18

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-02 02:26:54

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xb687…aee5	$172.5k	$172.3k	$171	$-172.1k
0xc21e…0215	$44.0k	$44.0k	$0	$-44.0k
0x2106…4dea	$37.0k	$37.0k	$5	$-37.0k
0x7449…c05e	$32.7k	$21.8k	$10.9k	$-10.8k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xb687…aee5	29,278	$2.02M	$-1.96M	40
0xc21e…0215	40,861	$1.73M	$-1.73M	26
0x2106…4dea	20,677	$1.39M	$-1.37M	41
0xb4f2…7862	4,801	$656.4k

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