0xcfc6e088b78e695e831e094f7aa1197c16b2436e5984b12fb9286361804b8e1b
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $1.71M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.7% · CLOB volume $1.71M · whales 24h net $20.8k (12 wallets) · 7d net $57.4k · 20/41 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.7%
Yes
Implied No
98.3%
No
Volume
$1.71M
CLOB
Traders
2,427
28,487 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.9% → 1.8% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$20.8k
Buy
$30.7k
Sell
$9.9k
Whales
12
Last 7 days
Net flow
$57.4k
Buy
$117.1k
Sell
$59.7k
Whales
69
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $168.9k | $164.1k | $4.8k | $-159.3k |
| 0x6db9…4ab5 | $41.6k | $873 | $40.7k | $39.8k |
| 0x9cd1…1eb0 | $34.4k | $16.9k | $17.5k | $523 |
| 0xfb51…742d | $27.6k | $17.2k | $10.4k | $-6.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 19,925 | $5.91M | $-5.77M | 41 |
| 0xb687…aee5 | 9,252 | $1.54M | $-1.54M | 24 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 25,206 | $1.17M | $-1.17M | 25 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 7,677 | $1.09M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
20 open · 41 total · Event board
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.29M
37.8%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.57M
29.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.41M
11.5%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.96M
5.7%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.74M
2.9%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.10M
2.1%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.71M
1.7%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.23M
1.4%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.18M
1.3%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.85M
1.1%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.03M
0.9%
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.64M
0.8%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.23M
0.3%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $5.70M
0.1%
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.68M
0.1%
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $847.7k
0.1%
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.17M
0.1%
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.68M
0.1%
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.26M
0.1%
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.09M
0.1%
| 0x6fac…574e | $23.9k | $500 | $23.4k | $22.9k |
| 0x6538…9392 | $21.8k | $21.8k | $0 | $-21.8k |
| 0x445f…29e1 | $18.6k | $480 | $18.1k | $17.6k |
| 0x7f45…d880 | $15.1k | $320 | $14.8k | $14.5k |
| 0x61bd…5489 | $14.7k | $9.8k | $4.9k | $-4.9k |
| 0x2fe7…03e0 | $14.1k | $7.2k | $7.0k | $-200 |
| 0x6f40…eb64 | $14.1k | $250 | $13.8k | $13.6k |
| 0xb5d1…6e35 | $13.3k | $776 | $12.5k | $11.8k |
| $-412.3k |
| 41 |
| 0x5e41…3745 | 182 | $492.2k | $489.8k | 1 |
| 0x9092…2933 | 5 | $364.2k | $-363.4k | 1 |
| 0x3659…0451 | 1,501 | $338.0k | $-336.1k | 29 |
| 0x334a…d8b4 | 45 | $320.3k | $-313.2k | 6 |
| 0x7449…c05e | 14,946 | $301.4k | $-100.1k | 26 |
| 0x949b…b285 | 720 | $284.4k | $269.6k | 2 |
