0xa203cc908da0d417590e01f89fb651a335650d6b797da76ac28726d5f8c7610b
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?” trades at 3% YES on Polymarket with $1.74M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 2.9% · CLOB volume $1.74M · whales 24h net $12.1k (21 wallets) · 7d net $52.2k · 20/41 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.9%
Yes
Implied No
97.2%
No
Volume
$1.74M
CLOB
Traders
3,058
30,980 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
2.9% → 2.8% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$12.1k
Buy
$38.2k
Sell
$26.0k
Whales
21
Last 7 days
Net flow
$52.2k
Buy
$146.1k
Sell
$93.9k
Whales
110
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $172.5k | $170.4k | $2.1k | $-168.3k |
| 0x55f3…cada | $56.7k | $1.7k | $55.0k | $53.3k |
| 0x9f42…e44e | $39.6k | $1.3k | $38.2k | $36.9k |
| 0x01a9…33f6 | $20.0k | $785 | $19.2k | $18.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 19,925 | $5.91M | $-5.77M | 41 |
| 0xb687…aee5 | 9,252 | $1.54M | $-1.54M | 24 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 25,206 | $1.17M | $-1.17M | 25 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 7,677 | $1.09M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
20 open · 41 total · Event board
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.29M
37.8%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.57M
29.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.41M
11.5%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.96M
5.7%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.74M
2.9%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.10M
2.1%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.71M
1.7%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.23M
1.4%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.18M
1.3%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.85M
1.1%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.03M
0.9%
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.64M
0.8%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.23M
0.3%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $5.70M
0.1%
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.68M
0.1%
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $847.7k
0.1%
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.17M
0.1%
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.68M
0.1%
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.26M
0.1%
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.09M
0.1%
| 0x096e…9c9c | $19.8k | $574 | $19.3k | $18.7k |
| 0xc7e5…2d3a | $15.0k | $15.0k | $0 | $-15.0k |
| 0x7635…6ece | $12.1k | $8.0k | $4.1k | $-3.9k |
| 0x2106…4dea | $10.9k | $10.9k | $0 | $-10.9k |
| 0x6230…675f | $10.4k | $6.7k | $3.7k | $-3.0k |
| 0x6372…896e | $10.0k | $5.4k | $4.6k | $-764 |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | $8.6k | $6.9k | $1.6k | $-5.3k |
| 0xa2e0…fd91 | $8.2k | $268 | $8.0k | $7.7k |
| $-412.3k |
| 41 |
| 0x5e41…3745 | 182 | $492.2k | $489.8k | 1 |
| 0x9092…2933 | 5 | $364.2k | $-363.4k | 1 |
| 0x3659…0451 | 1,501 | $338.0k | $-336.1k | 29 |
| 0x334a…d8b4 | 45 | $320.3k | $-313.2k | 6 |
| 0x7449…c05e | 14,946 | $301.4k | $-100.1k | 26 |
| 0x949b…b285 | 720 | $284.4k | $269.6k | 2 |
