@rainbowlilies

#30037

0x21064fd320bfd5a86f8c92a94d3209edf4154dea

~400d· 3415 markets · 301045 tradesVol: $73,457,0472026-09-09 18:03:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (1680/2538)18.1/20
0.80x (win $172,245 / loss $216,072)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6500/15
Sortino -0.8140/10
$-0.1400 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 299 (2538 markets)10/10
240/372 profitable days (65%)8.6/10
Max DD 172% of peak ($104,512 / $60,649)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Profitable
PnL $+694,884
Diamond Hands
4% sells
DCA Master
Avg 9.8 entries/market
Whale
$312,979 invested
Consistent
240/372 profitable days
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
⚽ SPORTS#337$319,355Vol: $50,008,863
🏛️ POLITICS#205$254,583Vol: $14,363,040
🎭 CULTURE#81$83,241Vol: $5,837,223
📈 ECONOMICS#689,417$-1,136Vol: $2,659,610
💻 TECH#40$38,719Vol: $296,043
💰 FINANCE#662,917$-989Vol: $197,755
₿ CRYPTO#99,046$99Vol: $27,250
🌤️ WEATHER#294,057$-125Vol: $25,647

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$694,854
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$73,457,047
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3415
total markets
Trades
16573B / 13472S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~400d

Periods

#2
Today
$19,177
Vol: $209,693
Week
$54,548
Vol: $1,077,070
Month
$120,775
Vol: $2,402,464
All Time
$694,854
Vol: $73,457,047

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
5147W / 1559L events
Realized PnL
$694,884
Win Rate
77%
5147W / 1559L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$103
Avg Loss
$-258

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $42,292 (0.06086144212585378% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$31,794
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5,836
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4,662
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,183
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3,933
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,704
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,307
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3,181
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,117
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$2,940

Top Losers

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-32,936
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-22,268
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-18,281
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-17,676
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-11,000
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-9,936
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9,832
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-7,618
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$-6,682
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$-3,029

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.034
Sortino
-0.026
HHI
494
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.140
Kelly %
34.9%
Half-Kelly
17.5%
Top-1 market
11.8%
Top-5 markets
45.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
752.6
Very active
Markets / Day
8.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
20.1m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 506s — normal for humanCV 5.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock753 trades/day — automation8.5 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.83
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.1%
Mid (20-55c)7.1%
High (>55c)76.8%

Sessions

#12
2/1/2026, 2:14:54 AM8 trades$4,0587 min
6/6/2026, 12:41:40 AM2 trades$3,8400 min
7/1/2026, 8:04:43 PM3 trades$3,8251 min
6/25/2026, 6:52:25 PM1 trades$3,2400 min
7/12/2026, 2:25:40 AM5 trades$3,2003 min
7/11/2026, 9:05:34 AM1 trades$3,1900 min
7/12/2026, 3:23:49 AM10 trades$2,96017 min
7/14/2026, 7:29:31 PM12 trades$2,62514 min
9/3/2026, 2:11:58 PM1 trades$2,5800 min
6/29/2026, 4:41:26 PM6 trades$2,2369 min
7/5/2026, 9:35:53 AM2 trades$2,0001 min
6/27/2026, 2:53:26 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
7/12/2026, 3:48:47 AM16 trades$1,85520 min
6/28/2026, 2:43:55 AM3 trades$1,8445 min
5/3/2026, 2:46:50 AM2 trades$1,8291 min
7/13/2026, 4:16:10 PM5 trades$1,7604 min
4/14/2026, 6:36:42 PM1 trades$1,7400 min
7/13/2026, 3:10:13 PM7 trades$1,70610 min
6/25/2026, 6:59:16 PM7 trades$1,6957 min
6/27/2026, 7:30:26 AM5 trades$1,68810 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-06
10-07
12-08
02-10
04-13
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 87 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.1 / M7.1 / H76.8