0x3b0107a80edd066fe987784d7ab5963c177888433efbec10689951c17320606c
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?” trades at 3% YES on Polymarket with $5.21M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 2.9% · CLOB volume $5.21M · whales 24h net $10.1k (47 wallets) · 7d net $38.7k · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.9%
Yes
Implied No
97.0%
No
Volume
$5.21M
CLOB
Traders
5,460
66,733 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
3.2% → 3.1% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$10.1k
Buy
$30.1k
Sell
$20.1k
Whales
47
Last 7 days
Net flow
$38.7k
Buy
$96.6k
Sell
$57.9k
Whales
129
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xed10…d2e5 | $120.1k | $69.9k | $50.2k | $-19.6k |
| 0x7cf6…af1e | $114.8k | $114.8k | $0 | $-114.8k |
| 0x0aae…251c | $63.0k | $32.1k | $30.9k | $-1.2k |
| 0x4ee4…18ef | $42.7k | $21.8k | $20.9k | $-904 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xed10…d2e5 | 106 | $120.1k | $-19.6k | 1 |
| 0x7cf6…af1e | 237 | $114.8k | $-114.8k | 1 |
| 0x0aae…251c | 78 | $63.0k | $-1.2k | 1 |
| 0x4ee4…18ef | 26 | $42.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
1 open · 1 total
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
open · $5.21M
2.9%
| 0xc2de…bcf2 | $36.8k | $18.5k | $18.3k | $-162 |
| 0x8b4b…541b | $31.2k | $23.9k | $7.3k | $-16.6k |
| 0x7f42…36ff | $28.0k | $28.0k | $0 | $-28.0k |
| 0xaec2…7cc7 | $27.1k | $13.8k | $13.3k | $-578 |
| 0xad60…97f4 | $26.7k | $14.3k | $12.4k | $-1.9k |
| 0xf7eb…31c3 | $20.9k | $10.6k | $10.3k | $-354 |
| 0x0896…74c1 | $16.0k | $16.0k | $0 | $-16.0k |
| 0x1e5a…935f | $15.2k | $2.5k | $12.7k | $10.2k |
| $-904 |
| 1 |
| 0xc2de…bcf2 | 22 | $36.8k | $-162 | 1 |
| 0x8b4b…541b | 33 | $31.2k | $-16.6k | 1 |
| 0x7f42…36ff | 7 | $28.0k | $-28.0k | 1 |
| 0xaec2…7cc7 | 48 | $27.1k | $-578 | 1 |
| 0xad60…97f4 | 49 | $26.7k | $-1.9k | 1 |
| 0xf7eb…31c3 | 20 | $20.9k | $-354 | 1 |