Will Thiago Martins win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?

0x3f0ffab6cbbe9655fc73cf41275c0aa1867f603077b1c3f312597cd2db58090d

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.7% · CLOB volume $203 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $19 · 50/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.7%

Yes

Implied No

99.3%

Volume

$203

CLOB

Traders

56 trades

Yes 0.7%No 99.3%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$19

Buy

$19

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($19)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.7% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($203) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

7 shown

NOBUY2026-08-03 02:05:03

99.6¢$19

—BUY2026-08-03 02:05:03

0.4¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-16 18:05:23

99.1¢$25

—BUY2026-07-16 18:05:23

0.9¢$0

—BUY2026-07-16 18:05:23

1.0¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x4f1d…8de2	$25	$25	$0	$-25
0x942e…be27	$19	$19	$0	$-19
0x83f5…4ae3	$5	$5	$0	$-5
0x613b…da44	$0	$0	$0	$-0

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x3f1f…feae	109	$773	$-770	25
0x4f1d…8de2	90	$770	$-757	34
0x942e…be27	64	$520	$-512	28
0x9422…f273	42	$370

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