Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

0x4cde2a38666140f5914b53c6699f82b0ab6b25c784969a025b9208f35dcd7a2d

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.5% · CLOB volume $30.5k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $17 · 11/23 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.5%

Yes

Implied No

99.5%

Volume

$30.5k

CLOB

Traders

201

1,087 trades

Yes 0.5%No 99.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$17

Buy

$17

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($17)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($30.5k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-30 02:56:02

99.8¢$17

—BUY2026-07-30 02:56:02

0.2¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-27 18:00:51

50000.0¢$5

—BUY2026-07-27 18:00:51

0.2¢$0

YESBUY2026-07-23 20:24:55

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x8db6…da81	$7.1k	$5.0k	$2.1k	$-2.9k
0x9dd9…08bd	$2.1k	$2.1k	$0	$-2.1k
0x38d5…063c	$1.9k	$1.8k	$56	$-1.8k
0xc3fc…484a	$1.6k	$1.2k	$408	$-815

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x994b…e95a	239	$290.5k	$-290.5k	1
0xdd52…f660	27	$59.0k	$-19.6k	1
0xe155…7c3c	23	$49.5k	$-16.4k	1
0x74d3…cc6a	25	$49.2k

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