Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

0x4fe25d919b3bfc0d883a3a3dbaf08facb4afb1e7c9e966d40e630e89e808f8f2

Bullish lean

Implied Yes 66.5% · CLOB volume $65.0k · whales 24h net $12 (3 wallets) · 7d net $12 · 4/8 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

66.5%

Yes

Implied No

33.5%

Volume

$65.0k

CLOB

Traders

6 trades

Yes 66.5%No 33.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$12

Buy

$16

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$12

Buy

$16

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market prices Yes at 66.5%
•Whales net buyers 24h ($12)
•7d whale net still positive ($12)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Watch for unwind volume on Yes or deadline risk

Recent fills

6 shown

YESBUY2026-08-06 06:07:38

34.0¢$3

NOBUY2026-08-06 06:07:38

294.1¢$10

NOBUY2026-08-06 05:56:36

67.0¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-06 05:56:36

149.3¢$1

YESBUY2026-08-06 05:56:32

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xfbd8…4027	$13	$3	$10	$7
0x510f…a43c	$13	$13	$0	$-13
0x0a06…921a	$6	$2	$4	$2
0x0800…ceb0	$1	$1	$0	$-1

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xd311…61b4	199	$17.3k	$2.3k	3
0xe917…9612	208	$15.1k	$-6.1k	3
0x21ff…0d71	85	$5.2k	$-5.2k	3
0x94ee…19f0	31	$5.0k

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