Will Marcus Carter be the Republican nominee for FL-09?

0x6053a4d9b004f2c12e6592f6fb2d066a9aa7aecae295e87e134524ccd8c5ec82

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.4% · CLOB volume $2.0k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $23 · 8/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.4%

Yes

Implied No

99.7%

Volume

$2.0k

CLOB

Traders

213 trades

Yes 0.4%No 99.7%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$23

Buy

$40

Sell

$17

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($23)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.4% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($2.0k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-02 10:59:12

99.7¢$10

—BUY2026-08-02 10:59:12

0.3¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-02 10:59:12

99.7¢$10

—BUY2026-08-02 10:59:12

0.3¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-02 10:54:02

99.7¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xefac…c9a1	$685	$334	$351	$17
0x7b6e…2b38	$180	$176	$4	$-172
0x38e5…95e7	$164	$46	$118	$72
0xb0c8…fe7f	$119	$97	$22	$-75

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xefac…c9a1	303	$6.6k	$-635	8
0x2128…f203	108	$5.8k	$-829	3
0x3080…337b	81	$3.3k	$-112	4
0xbd14…76b4	33	$2.1k

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