Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0x655b4bfdfa55a95c24d6e9bf7e7cd62f1b57da9a1f4c7f40f090b8ba847dffa2

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.5% · CLOB volume $27.92M · whales 24h net $130 (3 wallets) · 7d net $197.3k · 35/35 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.5%

Yes

Implied No

99.5%

Volume

$27.92M

CLOB

Traders

6,699

71,801 trades

Yes 0.5%No 99.5%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$130

Buy

$166

Sell

$36

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$197.3k

Buy

$215.5k

Sell

$18.3k

Whales

254

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($130)
•7d whale net still positive ($197.3k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-21 16:55:12

100.6¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-21 16:55:12

16666.7¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-21 15:49:40

99.5¢$1

—BUY2026-07-21 15:49:40

0.5¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-21 14:04:27

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xa771…162d	67,968	$3.32M	$-3.32M	26
0xb687…aee5	7,402	$2.48M	$-2.37M	34
0xa3a4…5106	3,811	$1.32M	$-1.27M	35
0x2663…ed1f	9,686	$1.31M

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