0x18b1c135d0a40c5894da9412e77311827d9caf16cf4cd6591b247a34730af919
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” trades at 50% YES on Polymarket with $15.59M total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 50.2% · CLOB volume $15.59M · whales 24h net $4.4k (19 wallets) · 7d net $46.2k · 31/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
50.2%
Yes
Implied No
49.8%
No
Volume
$15.59M
CLOB
Traders
20,684
215,406 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
50.3% → 50.2% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$4.4k
Buy
$11.2k
Sell
$6.8k
Whales
19
Last 7 days
Net flow
$46.2k
Buy
$95.5k
Sell
$49.3k
Whales
133
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd69a…f661 | $145.5k | $76.7k | $68.8k | $-7.9k |
| 0xa8a9…bb81 | $92.1k | $32.2k | $59.9k | $27.7k |
| 0xe6ca…b27a | $67.3k | $25.9k | $41.4k | $15.6k |
| 0x4e3d…8554 | $63.2k | $41.1k | $22.2k | $-18.9k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 10,596 | $3.96M | $-3.94M | 14 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 6,729 | $3.07M | $-3.06M | 37 |
| 0x6452…30a1 | 570 | $1.44M | $-513.5k | 1 |
| 0x7d56…4950 | 66 | $721.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
31 open · 42 total · Event board
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.59M
50.2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.57M
18.6%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.77M
3.5%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.51M
2.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.54M
1.9%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.36M
1.7%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.65M
1.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.56M
0.9%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.77M
0.5%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.10M
0.5%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.35M
0.5%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.72M
0.4%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $20.26M
0.4%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $17.94M
0.4%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.76M
0.3%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $44.42M
0.3%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $28.95M
0.3%
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $22.92M
0.3%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.53M
0.3%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.83M
0.3%
| 0xa667…84fe | $55.1k | $29.9k | $25.2k | $-4.7k |
| 0x4483…c565 | $49.4k | $39.2k | $10.2k | $-29.0k |
| 0xc6e9…0741 | $44.7k | $30.4k | $14.3k | $-16.1k |
| 0xeb22…808a | $42.0k | $25.1k | $16.8k | $-8.3k |
| 0x90ed…b5bc | $40.2k | $29.0k | $11.2k | $-17.8k |
| 0x011f…1122 | $39.4k | $39.2k | $219 | $-39.0k |
| 0xb4ee…cc59 | $38.9k | $27.2k | $11.8k | $-15.4k |
| 0x608c…37d4 | $31.6k | $31.5k | $78 | $-31.5k |
| $-714.7k |
| 3 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 1,489 | $713.4k | $-586.8k | 22 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 1,591 | $563.6k | $-559.1k | 14 |
| 0xb687…aee5 | 2,673 | $527.5k | $-527.5k | 17 |
| 0xa771…162d | 1,045 | $373.8k | $-373.8k | 5 |
| 0x17e5…3d19 | 38 | $370.8k | $-369.7k | 7 |
| 0x835b…118f | 355 | $364.7k | $5.4k | 2 |
