0x895e01dbf3e6a33cd9a44ca0f8cdb5df1bd2b0b6ebed5300d28f8da7145145e4
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $9.54M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.9% · CLOB volume $9.54M · whales 24h net $1.4k (11 wallets) · 7d net $26.1k · 31/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.9%
Yes
Implied No
98.0%
No
Volume
$9.54M
CLOB
Traders
12,657
123,556 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
2.0% → 1.9% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.4k
Buy
$1.6k
Sell
$161
Whales
11
Last 7 days
Net flow
$26.1k
Buy
$41.8k
Sell
$15.7k
Whales
73
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2663…ed1f | $62.1k | $62.1k | $0 | $-62.1k |
| 0x812c…b7e2 | $27.8k | $18.0k | $9.9k | $-8.1k |
| 0xbafb…2468 | $24.4k | $22.0k | $2.4k | $-19.6k |
| 0x542a…a81b | $10.8k | $220 | $10.6k | $10.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 10,596 | $3.96M | $-3.94M | 14 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 6,729 | $3.07M | $-3.06M | 37 |
| 0x6452…30a1 | 570 | $1.44M | $-513.5k | 1 |
| 0x7d56…4950 | 66 | $721.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
31 open · 42 total · Event board
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.59M
50.2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.57M
18.6%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.77M
3.5%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.51M
2.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.54M
1.9%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.36M
1.7%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.65M
1.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.56M
0.9%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.77M
0.5%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.10M
0.5%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.35M
0.5%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.72M
0.4%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $20.26M
0.4%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $17.94M
0.4%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.76M
0.3%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $44.42M
0.3%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $28.95M
0.3%
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $22.92M
0.3%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.53M
0.3%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.83M
0.3%
| 0xb5d1…6e35 | $10.4k | $441 | $10.0k | $9.6k |
| 0xb1ea…3d00 | $9.1k | $4.5k | $4.6k | $44 |
| 0xe6ca…b27a | $8.6k | $186 | $8.5k | $8.3k |
| 0xa2a7…d9f9 | $8.4k | $5.6k | $2.9k | $-2.7k |
| 0x35f7…0c73 | $8.1k | $175 | $8.0k | $7.8k |
| 0xd600…b66e | $7.5k | $7.5k | $0 | $-7.5k |
| 0x849c…4009 | $7.3k | $7.3k | $0 | $-7.3k |
| 0x3f2d…2adc | $7.2k | $6.7k | $519 | $-6.2k |
| $-714.7k |
| 3 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 1,489 | $713.4k | $-586.8k | 22 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 1,591 | $563.6k | $-559.1k | 14 |
| 0xb687…aee5 | 2,673 | $527.5k | $-527.5k | 17 |
| 0xa771…162d | 1,045 | $373.8k | $-373.8k | 5 |
| 0x17e5…3d19 | 38 | $370.8k | $-369.7k | 7 |
| 0x835b…118f | 355 | $364.7k | $5.4k | 2 |
